An independent sports-statistics project, built on calibration, not hype.

For World Cup 2026 we turned 128 historical World Cup matches (2018 + 2022) and a transparent set of contextual adjustments into projected totals and probabilities: 528 lines across 88 projected matches, each checked against its result on the accuracy page. Those projections are now the World Cup 2026 archive; the current season is covered by fixtures, results and statistics from the matches we store. Every projection carried a confidence rating (High, Medium or Low), and every statistic hub explains the historical reliability behind it.

We do not publish picks, recommendations or anything framed as advice to act. We do not optimise for "winners"; we optimise for calibration. When we say 65%, we want roughly 65 of every 100 such calls to land. Our reliability rankings and post-matchday reviews exist so you can hold us to that.

• Confidence is visible. Low-confidence numbers are tagged Low. We will not hide a weak signal behind a confident-sounding sentence.
• Limitations are stated. The sample is two tournaments. The 48-team format is brand new. Heat and altitude effects are modelled, not proven. In those cases we lower confidence. We do not guess louder.
• The record is public. During World Cup 2026 we published projected-versus-actual reviews of what we projected and what actually happened. They are kept in News and on the accuracy page.

Fans, statistics enthusiasts, traveling supporters and office-pool players who want a clear-eyed read on a match, not a slogan. If you read our methodology and disagree with our adjustments, good: that is the point of publishing them.

• Archived accuracy ledger: Every stored World Cup line checked against its stored result, misses included.
• Archive methodology: How the archived World Cup 2026 projections were built: sample, filters, confidence and limits.
• Club prediction method: The five steps behind the free club predictions, with a worked example.
• Club ratings method: The Elo and strength formulas behind the club ratings pages.

• Leagues: Tables, fixtures, results and statistics for each stored competition.
• Statistics: The statistics hub for stored competitions.
• News: Reports, analysis and features written from stored results.
• Matchday Guide: Grounds, cities and getting there.

• FAQ: Short answers about projections, past purchases and our record.
• Glossary: Short definitions of the statistical terms used across the site.
• Who builds this: The operating principle and the accountability record.
• Contact: Methodology questions, corrections, partnerships and press.