Frequently asked, honestly answered.

What is MatchdaySync?

An independent sports-statistics project publishing calibrated projections for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with a confidence rating on every number and a public projected-versus-actual record after each matchday.

Is this advice on what to do?

No. We publish statistics and analytics for information only. We do not make recommendations and we do not optimise for outcomes; we optimise for calibration.

What format are the downloadable products?

Google Sheets and Microsoft Excel. Each model, dashboard or template is delivered as both, so you can use whichever you prefer.

How does delivery work?

Checkout runs through a merchant of record (Lemon Squeezy or Gumroad). Payment is processed by them, tax is handled by them, and the download is instant after purchase — the file arrives in your email and on the post-checkout screen.

Do you offer refunds?

Yes — digital products are eligible for a refund within 14 days if the file is faulty or materially mis-described, processed through the merchant of record. Because every product is delivered as a working spreadsheet, refunds for change-of-mind are at our discretion.

What does a projection actually mean?

It is the model's central estimate of a statistical total for one match, with a probability around a threshold and a confidence rating attached. A 62% probability does not promise the outcome; it means roughly 62 of every 100 such matches would clear the threshold if the model is well calibrated.

What does a projection NOT mean?

It is not a guarantee, a lock, or a recommendation to act. A Low-confidence projection is a flag that the data is thin — we publish it because hiding it would be dishonest, not because we are confident in it.

What is your sample?

The 128 matches of the 2018 and 2022 FIFA World Cups. Club-league data was deliberately excluded so the calibration matches the conditions of tournament play.

How is World Cup 2026's 48-team format handled?

We say plainly that it is untested. Where the new structure (Round of 32, third-place qualification) could shift baselines we lower confidence rather than guess louder. See the methodology page for details.

Will you publish your hit-rate?

Yes. After every matchday a projected-versus-actual review is published on Insights, and the reliability ranking updates publicly as evidence accumulates.

Read the methodology, browse the glossary, or write to us via /contact.