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Total FoulsBrazil flagBrazil vs Morocco flagMorocco

The projection

Total Fouls — in depth

Projected total
28.6fouls
Threshold: Over 18.5
Probability
92%
High confidence
Adjustment: none
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Intelligence brief

Historical reliability

How often this market resolved over its standard threshold in past World Cups — descriptive statistics, not a recommendation.

2018 + 2022 combined
89%

Resolved over the o18.5 threshold in 89% of 2018 + 2022 World Cup matches.

201894%
202284%
10pt gap
between tournaments
Sample size
128 matches
2018 + 2022
Threshold
o18.5
Reliability rank
#2

Very stable. Combative matchups push higher.

Per-team breakdown

How total fouls splits between sides

Brazil
12.5fouls
74% probability
Breakeven rate: 1.35%
Morocco
16.1fouls
93% probability
Breakeven rate: 1.08%
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Across the tournament

Other matches with notable total fouls lines

Reader sentiment

Which side do you think trends higher on total fouls?

Statistics-framed reader poll. Tap a side to see the running split.

MatchdaySync provides sports statistics and analytics for information only — not advice.