← World Cup 2026·Group L·MD 3

Croatia flagCroatia vs Ghana flagGhana

Lincoln Financial · Philadelphia, USA
Your timezone
Stadium local
17:00
UTC
21:00·2026-06-27
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
38.6throw-ins
Medium
Over 33.5
71%
Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0; mismatch +0.8
Per-team splits
Croatia
20.9throw-ins
81% probability
Ghana
17.7throw-ins
64% probability
Total Fouls
23.4fouls
Medium
Over 18.5
75%
Adjustment: deep-defender +1.0; mismatch +1.0
Per-team splits
Croatia
12.2fouls
72% probability
Ghana
11.2fouls
64% probability
Total Corners
8.8corners
Medium
Over 7.5
67%
Per-team splits
Croatia
6.2corners
85% probability
Ghana
2.6corners
37% probability
Shots on Target
6.7SoT
Medium
Over 6.5
52%
Per-team splits
Croatia
5SoT
85% probability
Ghana
1.7SoT
38% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.52goals
High
Over 1.5
72%
Per-team splits
Croatia
goals
% probability
Ghana
goals
% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.52goals
High
Over 0.5
88%
Per-team splits
Croatia
1.59goals
80% probability
Ghana
0.93goals
60% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
HIGH
Deep-defending side present
Foul counts trend higher
Possession-dominant side present
Throw-in counts trend higher
HEAT downgrade
DOWNGRADE tempo overs
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Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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