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Total FoulsEngland flagEngland vs Ghana flagGhana

The projection

Total Fouls — in depth

Projected total
22.8fouls
Threshold: Over 18.5
Probability
73%
Medium confidence
Adjustment: deep-defender +1.0; mismatch +1.5
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Intelligence brief

Historical reliability

How often this market resolved over its standard threshold in past World Cups — descriptive statistics, not a recommendation.

2018 + 2022 combined
89%

Resolved over the o18.5 threshold in 89% of 2018 + 2022 World Cup matches.

201894%
202284%
10pt gap
between tournaments
Sample size
128 matches
2018 + 2022
Threshold
o18.5
Reliability rank
#2

Very stable. Combative matchups push higher.

Per-team breakdown

How total fouls splits between sides

England
11.3fouls
66% probability
Breakeven rate: 1.52%
Ghana
11.5fouls
66% probability
Breakeven rate: 1.52%
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Across the tournament

Other matches with notable total fouls lines

Tunisia flagTunisiavsJapan flagJapan
32.8
98%
Algeria flagAlgeriavsAustria flagAustria
32.9
98%
Morocco flagMoroccovsHaiti flagHaiti
33.4
98%
Jordan flagJordanvsAlgeria flagAlgeria
31.9
97%
Argentina flagArgentinavsAlgeria flagAlgeria
31.4
97%
Scotland flagScotlandvsMorocco flagMorocco
30.6
96%
Reader sentiment

Which side do you think trends higher on total fouls?

Statistics-framed reader poll. Tap a side to see the running split.

SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

Open SyncEdge →

MatchdaySync provides sports statistics and analytics for information only — not advice.