Total Throw-ins
Netherlands vs 
Sweden
The projection
Total Throw-ins — in depth
Projected total
42.4throw-ins
Threshold: Over 33.5
Probability
83%
High confidenceAdjustment: possession-dom +1.0; mismatch +0.8
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Intelligence brief
Historical reliability
How often this market resolved over its standard threshold in past World Cups — descriptive statistics, not a recommendation.
2018 + 2022 combined
79%
Resolved over the o33.5 threshold in 79% of 2018 + 2022 World Cup matches.
201880%
202278%
2pt gap
between tournaments
Sample size
128 matches
2018 + 2022
Threshold
o33.5
Reliability rank
#3
MOST consistent market (2pt gap). Lightly-watched = softer lines. Best edge.
Per-team breakdown
How total throw-ins splits between sides
Netherlands
20.4throw-ins
79% probability
Breakeven rate: 1.27%
Sweden
22throw-ins
86% probability
Breakeven rate: 1.16%
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Across the tournament
Other matches with notable total throw-ins lines
Reader sentiment
Which side do you think trends higher on total throw-ins?
Statistics-framed reader poll. Tap a side to see the running split.
MatchdaySync provides sports statistics and analytics for information only — not advice.