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Total Throw-insSenegal flagSenegal vs Iraq flagIraq

The projection

Total Throw-ins — in depth

Projected total
41.8throw-ins
Threshold: Over 33.5
Probability
81%
High confidence
Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0; mismatch +0.8
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Intelligence brief

Historical reliability

How often this market resolved over its standard threshold in past World Cups — descriptive statistics, not a recommendation.

2018 + 2022 combined
79%

Resolved over the o33.5 threshold in 79% of 2018 + 2022 World Cup matches.

201880%
202278%
2pt gap
between tournaments
Sample size
128 matches
2018 + 2022
Threshold
o33.5
Reliability rank
#3

MOST consistent market (2pt gap). Lightly-watched = softer lines. Best edge.

Per-team breakdown

How total throw-ins splits between sides

Senegal
20.2throw-ins
78% probability
Breakeven rate: 1.28%
Iraq
21.6throw-ins
84% probability
Breakeven rate: 1.19%
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Across the tournament

Other matches with notable total throw-ins lines

Reader sentiment

Which side do you think trends higher on total throw-ins?

Statistics-framed reader poll. Tap a side to see the running split.

MatchdaySync provides sports statistics and analytics for information only — not advice.