← World Cup 2026·Group F·MD 3

Tunisia vs Netherlands

Arrowhead · Kansas City, USA

Venue

Arrowhead

Kansas City, USA

Open-air

Your timezone

2026-06-25T23:00:00Z

Stadium local

18:00

UTC

23:00·2026-06-25

Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins

44throw-ins

Medium

Over 33.5

87%

Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0; mismatch +0.8

Per-team splits

Tunisia

23.6throw-ins

91% probability

Netherlands

20.4throw-ins

79% probability

Total Fouls

28fouls

Medium

Over 18.5

91%

Adjustment: mismatch +1.0

Per-team splits

Tunisia

17fouls

95% probability

Netherlands

11fouls

63% probability

Total Corners

9.2corners

Medium

Over 7.5

71%

Per-team splits

Tunisia

3.8corners

54% probability

Netherlands

5.4corners

77% probability

Shots on Target

7.4SoT

Medium

Over 6.5

62%

Per-team splits

Tunisia

2.8SoT

54% probability

Netherlands

4.6SoT

81% probability

Total Goals (1.5+)

2.91goals

High

Over 1.5

79%

Per-team splits

Tunisia

—goals

—% probability

Netherlands

—goals

—% probability

Total Goals (0.5+)

2.91goals

High

Over 0.5

92%

Per-team splits

Tunisia

0.97goals

62% probability

Netherlands

1.94goals

86% probability

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch

HIGH

Possession-dominant side present

Throw-in counts trend higher

HEAT downgrade

DOWNGRADE tempo overs

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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