← World Cup 2026·Group H·MD 3

Uruguay vs Spain

Estadio Akron · Guadalajara, Mexico

Venue

Estadio Akron

Guadalajara, Mexico

Partial cover

Your timezone

2026-06-27T00:00:00Z

Stadium local

18:00

UTC

00:00·2026-06-27

Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins

38throw-ins

Medium

Over 33.5

68%

Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0

Per-team splits

Uruguay

19.1throw-ins

72% probability

Spain

18.9throw-ins

71% probability

Total Fouls

24.1fouls

Medium

Over 18.5

78%

Adjustment: none

Per-team splits

Uruguay

12.4fouls

73% probability

Spain

11.7fouls

69% probability

Total Corners

10.2corners

Low

Over 7.5

81%

Per-team splits

Uruguay

4.4corners

63% probability

Spain

5.8corners

81% probability

Shots on Target

8.5SoT

Low

Over 6.5

76%

Per-team splits

Uruguay

2.1SoT

44% probability

Spain

6.4SoT

95% probability

Total Goals (1.5+)

2.6goals

High

Over 1.5

74%

Per-team splits

Uruguay

—goals

—% probability

Spain

—goals

—% probability

Total Goals (0.5+)

2.6goals

High

Over 0.5

89%

Per-team splits

Uruguay

0.88goals

59% probability

Spain

1.72goals

82% probability

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch

MODERATE

Possession-dominant side present

Throw-in counts trend higher

HEAT+ALTITUDE

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Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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