← World Cup 2026·Group D·MD 1

Australia flagAustralia 20 Türkiye flagTürkiyeFT

Played 2026-06-13 · BC Place · Vancouver, Canada
BC Place in Vancouver — 2026 FIFA World Cup host venue
Venue
BC Place
Vancouver, Canada
Retractable roof, NO AC
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
38.9
72%
38
Hit
Total Foulso18.5
25.7
85%
16
Miss
Total Cornerso7.5
8.6
63%
13
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
7.0
56%
12
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.7
75%
2
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.7
90%
2
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
38.9throw-ins
High
Over 33.5
72%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Australia
19.1throw-ins
72% probability
Türkiye
19.8throw-ins
76% probability
Total Fouls
25.7fouls
High
Over 18.5
85%
Adjustment: deep-defender +1.0
Per-team splits
Australia
14.5fouls
86% probability
Türkiye
11.2fouls
64% probability
Total Corners
8.6corners
High
Over 7.5
63%
Per-team splits
Australia
1.8corners
26% probability
Türkiye
6.8corners
89% probability
Shots on Target
7SoT
High
Over 6.5
56%
Per-team splits
Australia
2.6SoT
52% probability
Türkiye
4.4SoT
78% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.69goals
High
Over 1.5
75%
Per-team splits
Australia
goals
% probability
Türkiye
goals
% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.69goals
High
Over 0.5
90%
Per-team splits
Australia
1.15goals
68% probability
Türkiye
1.54goals
79% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
MODERATE
Deep-defending side present
Foul counts trend higher
Neutral/Mild
NEUTRAL/MILD
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SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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