← World Cup 2026·Group C·MD 1

Haiti flagHaiti 01 Scotland flagScotlandFT

Played 2026-06-13 · Gillette (Foxborough) · Boston, USA
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
39.2
73%
37
Hit
Total Foulso18.5
29.2
94%
44
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
8.5
62%
7
Miss
Shots on Targeto6.5
8.3
73%
4
Miss
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.5
71%
1
Miss
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.5
87%
1
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
39.2throw-ins
High
Over 33.5
73%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Haiti
20.4throw-ins
79% probability
Scotland
18.8throw-ins
71% probability
Total Fouls
29.2fouls
High
Over 18.5
94%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Haiti
15.8fouls
91% probability
Scotland
13.4fouls
80% probability
Total Corners
8.5corners
High
Over 7.5
62%
Per-team splits
Haiti
3.8corners
54% probability
Scotland
4.7corners
68% probability
Shots on Target
8.3SoT
High
Over 6.5
73%
Per-team splits
Haiti
3.7SoT
69% probability
Scotland
4.6SoT
81% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.47goals
High
Over 1.5
71%
Per-team splits
Haiti
goals
% probability
Scotland
goals
% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.47goals
High
Over 0.5
87%
Per-team splits
Haiti
1.1goals
67% probability
Scotland
1.37goals
75% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
MODERATE
Slight heat
SLIGHT DOWNGRADE if hot
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SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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