Total Throw-ins
44.4throw-ins
Over 33.5
87%
Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0; mismatch +0.8
Per-team splits
Belgium
21.4throw-ins
83% probability
Egypt
23throw-ins
89% probability
Belgium 1–1 
EgyptFT
Played 2026-06-15 · Lumen Field · Seattle, USA
Venue
Lumen Field
Seattle, USA
Result Verdict
Projected vs actual
Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.
Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
44.4
87%
47
Hit
Total Foulso18.5
24.9
82%
30
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
10.9
86%
9
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
9.8
87%
6
Miss
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
3.0
81%
2
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
3.0
93%
2
Hit
Exclusive
Statistical Projections
Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.
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Matchup Profile
What shapes the numbers
Strength mismatch
HIGH
Possession-dominant side present
Throw-in counts trend higher
Slight heat
SLIGHT DOWNGRADE if hot
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Full projections for all 72 matches
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