← World Cup 2026·Group C·MD 2

Brazil flagBrazil 30 Haiti flagHaitiFT

Played 2026-06-19 · Lincoln Financial · Philadelphia, USA
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
37.9
68%
34
Hit
Total Foulso18.5
29.7
94%
27
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
7.1
45%
8
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
8.3
73%
8
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.7
75%
3
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.7
90%
3
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
37.9throw-ins
Low
Over 33.5
68%
Adjustment: mismatch +1.2
Per-team splits
Brazil
16.8throw-ins
59% probability
Haiti
21.1throw-ins
82% probability
Total Fouls
29.7fouls
Low
Over 18.5
94%
Adjustment: mismatch +1.5
Per-team splits
Brazil
13.1fouls
78% probability
Haiti
16.6fouls
94% probability
Total Corners
7.1corners
Low
Over 7.5
45%
Per-team splits
Brazil
3.5corners
50% probability
Haiti
3.6corners
51% probability
Shots on Target
8.3SoT
Low
Over 6.5
73%
Per-team splits
Brazil
4.8SoT
83% probability
Haiti
3.5SoT
66% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.69goals
Medium
Over 1.5
75%
Per-team splits
Brazil
goals
% probability
Haiti
goals
% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.69goals
Medium
Over 0.5
90%
Per-team splits
Brazil
1.54goals
79% probability
Haiti
1.15goals
68% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
EXTREME
HEAT downgrade
DOWNGRADE tempo overs
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SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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