← World Cup 2026·Group D·MD 2

Türkiye flagTürkiye 01 Paraguay flagParaguayFT

Played 2026-06-19 · Levi's (Santa Clara) · San Francisco, USA
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
41.7
81%
52
Hit
Total Foulso18.5
25.2
83%
29
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
10.3
82%
12
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
7.3
61%
7
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.6
75%
1
Miss
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.6
89%
1
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
41.7throw-ins
High
Over 33.5
81%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Türkiye
19.8throw-ins
76% probability
Paraguay
21.9throw-ins
85% probability
Total Fouls
25.2fouls
High
Over 18.5
83%
Adjustment: deep-defender +1.0
Per-team splits
Türkiye
11.2fouls
64% probability
Paraguay
14fouls
84% probability
Total Corners
10.3corners
High
Over 7.5
82%
Per-team splits
Türkiye
6.7corners
89% probability
Paraguay
3.6corners
51% probability
Shots on Target
7.3SoT
High
Over 6.5
61%
Per-team splits
Türkiye
4.3SoT
78% probability
Paraguay
3SoT
58% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.65goals
High
Over 1.5
75%
Per-team splits
Türkiye
goals
% probability
Paraguay
goals
% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.65goals
High
Over 0.5
89%
Per-team splits
Türkiye
1.55goals
79% probability
Paraguay
1.1goals
67% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
MODERATE
Deep-defending side present
Foul counts trend higher
Slight heat
SLIGHT DOWNGRADE if hot
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SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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