← World Cup 2026·Group A·MD 2

Czechia flagCzechia 11 South Africa flagSouth AfricaFT

Played 2026-06-18 · Mercedes-Benz · Atlanta, USA
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
45.0
89%
31
Miss
Total Foulso18.5
31.1
96%
22
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
9.6
75%
10
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
8.0
70%
7
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.9
79%
2
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.9
91%
2
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
45throw-ins
High
Over 33.5
89%
Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0
Per-team splits
Czechia
25throw-ins
94% probability
South Africa
20throw-ins
77% probability
Total Fouls
31.1fouls
High
Over 18.5
96%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Czechia
18.5fouls
97% probability
South Africa
12.6fouls
75% probability
Total Corners
9.6corners
High
Over 7.5
75%
Per-team splits
Czechia
5.8corners
81% probability
South Africa
3.8corners
54% probability
Shots on Target
8SoT
High
Over 6.5
70%
Per-team splits
Czechia
3.7SoT
69% probability
South Africa
4.3SoT
77% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.87goals
High
Over 1.5
79%
Per-team splits
Czechia
goals
% probability
South Africa
goals
% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.87goals
High
Over 0.5
91%
Per-team splits
Czechia
1.63goals
80% probability
South Africa
1.24goals
71% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
MODERATE
Possession-dominant side present
Throw-in counts trend higher
Neutral (AC)
NEUTRAL — controlled
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SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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