← World Cup 2026·Group K·MD 1

Uzbekistan flagUzbekistan 13 Colombia flagColombiaFT

Played 2026-06-17 · Estadio Azteca/Banorte · Mexico City, Mexico
Estadio Azteca/Banorte in Mexico City — 2026 FIFA World Cup host venue
Venue
Estadio Azteca/Banorte
Mexico City, Mexico
Open-air
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
43.1
85%
50
Hit
Total Foulso18.5
26.4
87%
25
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
8.2
58%
7
Miss
Shots on Targeto6.5
7.5
64%
6
Miss
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
3.3
85%
4
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
3.3
95%
4
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
43.1throw-ins
Medium
Over 33.5
85%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Uzbekistan
19.7throw-ins
75% probability
Colombia
23.4throw-ins
90% probability
Total Fouls
26.4fouls
Medium
Over 18.5
87%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Uzbekistan
13.1fouls
78% probability
Colombia
13.3fouls
80% probability
Total Corners
8.2corners
Medium
Over 7.5
58%
Per-team splits
Uzbekistan
4.1corners
59% probability
Colombia
4.1corners
60% probability
Shots on Target
7.5SoT
Medium
Over 6.5
64%
Per-team splits
Uzbekistan
2.8SoT
55% probability
Colombia
4.7SoT
81% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
3.31goals
High
Over 1.5
85%
Per-team splits
Uzbekistan
goals
% probability
Colombia
goals
% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
3.31goals
High
Over 0.5
95%
Per-team splits
Uzbekistan
1.54goals
79% probability
Colombia
1.77goals
83% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
MODERATE
ALTITUDE downgrade
ALTITUDE DOWNGRADE late-game
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SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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