← World Cup 2026·Group E·MD 3

Ecuador vs Germany

MetLife · New York/NJ

Venue

MetLife

New York/NJ

Open-air

Your timezone

2026-06-25T20:00:00Z

Stadium local

16:00

UTC

20:00·2026-06-25

Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins

43.1throw-ins

High

Over 33.5

85%

Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0

Per-team splits

Ecuador

18.3throw-ins

68% probability

Germany

24.8throw-ins

94% probability

Total Fouls

27fouls

High

Over 18.5

88%

Adjustment: none

Per-team splits

Ecuador

14.7fouls

87% probability

Germany

12.3fouls

73% probability

Total Corners

9.3corners

High

Over 7.5

72%

Per-team splits

Ecuador

3.2corners

46% probability

Germany

6.1corners

84% probability

Shots on Target

8.7SoT

High

Over 6.5

78%

Per-team splits

Ecuador

3SoT

58% probability

Germany

5.7SoT

91% probability

Total Goals (1.5+)

2.21goals

High

Over 1.5

66%

Per-team splits

Ecuador

—goals

—% probability

Germany

—goals

—% probability

Total Goals (0.5+)

2.21goals

High

Over 0.5

84%

Per-team splits

Ecuador

0.75goals

53% probability

Germany

1.46goals

77% probability

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch

MODERATE

Possession-dominant side present

Throw-in counts trend higher

Slight heat

SLIGHT/DOWNGRADE if hot

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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