← World Cup 2026·Group A·MD 3

South Africa vs South Korea

Estadio BBVA · Monterrey, Mexico

Venue

Estadio BBVA

Monterrey, Mexico

Open-air (ventilation design)

Your timezone

2026-06-25T01:00:00Z

Stadium local

19:00

UTC

01:00·2026-06-25

Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins

37throw-ins

Medium

Over 33.5

64%

Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0

Per-team splits

South Africa

20.1throw-ins

78% probability

South Korea

16.9throw-ins

59% probability

Total Fouls

24.8fouls

Medium

Over 18.5

81%

Adjustment: none

Per-team splits

South Africa

12.6fouls

75% probability

South Korea

12.2fouls

72% probability

Total Corners

8.1corners

Medium

Over 7.5

57%

Per-team splits

South Africa

3.6corners

52% probability

South Korea

4.5corners

65% probability

Shots on Target

7.4SoT

Medium

Over 6.5

62%

Per-team splits

South Africa

4.1SoT

74% probability

South Korea

3.3SoT

64% probability

Total Goals (1.5+)

2.29goals

High

Over 1.5

68%

Per-team splits

South Africa

—goals

—% probability

South Korea

—goals

—% probability

Total Goals (0.5+)

2.29goals

High

Over 0.5

85%

Per-team splits

South Africa

1.19goals

70% probability

South Korea

1.1goals

67% probability

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch

MODERATE

Possession-dominant side present

Throw-in counts trend higher

HEAT downgrade

DOWNGRADE tempo overs

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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