Total Throw-ins
37.7throw-ins
Over 33.5
67%
Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0
Per-team splits
England
17.2throw-ins
61% probability
Croatia
20.5throw-ins
79% probability
England 4–2 
CroatiaFT
Played 2026-06-17 · AT&T / Dallas Stadium · Dallas, USA
Result Verdict
Projected vs actual
Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.
Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
37.7
67%
33
Miss
Total Foulso18.5
21.3
65%
22
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
13.3
97%
10
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
10.3
91%
16
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.6
74%
6
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.6
89%
6
Hit
Exclusive
Statistical Projections
Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.
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Matchup Profile
What shapes the numbers
Strength mismatch
MODERATE
Possession-dominant side present
Throw-in counts trend higher
Neutral (AC)
NEUTRAL — controlled
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Full projections for all 72 matches
Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.
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