Total Throw-ins
42.4throw-ins
Over 33.5
83%
Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0; mismatch +0.8
Per-team splits
Portugal
19.8throw-ins
76% probability
DR Congo
22.6throw-ins
88% probability
Portugal 1–1 
DR CongoFT
Played 2026-06-17 · NRG Stadium · Houston, USA
Venue
NRG Stadium
Houston, USA
Result Verdict
Projected vs actual
Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.
Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
42.4
83%
31
Miss
Total Foulso18.5
26.2
86%
19
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
9.7
76%
9
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
8.5
76%
3
Miss
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.9
79%
2
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.9
92%
2
Hit
Exclusive
Statistical Projections
Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.
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Matchup Profile
What shapes the numbers
Strength mismatch
HIGH
Possession-dominant side present
Throw-in counts trend higher
Neutral (AC)
NEUTRAL — controlled
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Full projections for all 72 matches
Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.
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