Total Throw-ins
40.8throw-ins
Over 33.5
78%
Adjustment: possession-dom +1.0
Per-team splits
France
21throw-ins
82% probability
Senegal
19.8throw-ins
76% probability
France 3–1 
SenegalFT
Played 2026-06-16 · MetLife · New York/NJ
Venue
MetLife
New York/NJ
Result Verdict
Projected vs actual
Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.
Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
40.8
78%
30
Miss
Total Foulso18.5
26.7
88%
14
Miss
Total Cornerso7.5
11.5
90%
10
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
11.6
96%
10
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.6
75%
4
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.6
89%
4
Hit
Exclusive
Statistical Projections
Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.
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Matchup Profile
What shapes the numbers
Strength mismatch
MODERATE
Possession-dominant side present
Throw-in counts trend higher
Slight heat
SLIGHT/DOWNGRADE if hot
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SyncEdge
Full projections for all 72 matches
Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.
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