MatchdaySync
← World Cup 2026·Group B·MD 1

Qatar flagQatar 1–1 Switzerland flagSwitzerlandFT

Played 2026-06-13 · Levi's (Santa Clara) · San Francisco, USA
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
42.0
82%
31
Miss
Total Foulso18.5
20.3
60%
23
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
8.0
56%
13
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
6.6
52%
10
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.3
68%
2
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.3
85%
2
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
42throw-ins
High
Over 33.5
82%
Adjustment: mismatch +0.8
Per-team splits
Qatar
21.1throw-ins
82% probability
Switzerland
20.9throw-ins
81% probability
Total Fouls
20.3fouls
High
Over 18.5
60%
Adjustment: mismatch +1.0
Per-team splits
Qatar
9.9fouls
53% probability
Switzerland
10.4fouls
58% probability
Total Corners
8corners
High
Over 7.5
56%
Per-team splits
Qatar
4.2corners
61% probability
Switzerland
3.8corners
54% probability
Shots on Target
6.6SoT
High
Over 6.5
52%
Per-team splits
Qatar
2.5SoT
50% probability
Switzerland
4.1SoT
74% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.29goals
High
Over 1.5
68%
Per-team splits
Qatar
—goals
—% probability
Switzerland
—goals
—% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.29goals
High
Over 0.5
85%
Per-team splits
Qatar
0.66goals
48% probability
Switzerland
1.63goals
80% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
HIGH
Slight heat
SLIGHT DOWNGRADE if hot
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SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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