← World Cup 2026·Group A·MD 1

South Korea flagSouth Korea 21 Czechia flagCzechiaFT

Played 2026-06-11 · Estadio Akron · Guadalajara, Mexico
Estadio Akron in Guadalajara — 2026 FIFA World Cup host venue
Venue
Estadio Akron
Guadalajara, Mexico
Partial cover
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six markets, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Market
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso33.5
40.8
78%
42
Hit
Total Foulso18.5
30.6
96%
25
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
9.7
77%
9
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
6.7
53%
10
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
3.0
80%
3
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
3.0
92%
3
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six markets, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
40.8throw-ins
Medium
Over 33.5
78%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
South Korea
16.4throw-ins
56% probability
Czechia
24.4throw-ins
93% probability
Total Fouls
30.6fouls
Medium
Over 18.5
96%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
South Korea
12.2fouls
72% probability
Czechia
18.4fouls
97% probability
Total Corners
9.7corners
Low
Over 7.5
77%
Per-team splits
South Korea
4.3corners
63% probability
Czechia
5.4corners
76% probability
Shots on Target
6.7SoT
Low
Over 6.5
53%
Per-team splits
South Korea
3.3SoT
62% probability
Czechia
3.4SoT
65% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.96goals
High
Over 1.5
80%
Per-team splits
South Korea
goals
% probability
Czechia
goals
% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.96goals
High
Over 0.5
92%
Per-team splits
South Korea
1.24goals
71% probability
Czechia
1.72goals
82% probability
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Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
LOW
HEAT+ALTITUDE
DOUBLE DOWNGRADE
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SyncEdge

Full projections for all 72 matches

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes — the complete intelligence layer.

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