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← World Cup 2026·Group B · MD 1

Canada flagCanada 1–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina flagBosnia & HerzegovinaFT

Played 2026-06-12 · BMO Field · Toronto, Canada
Venue
BMO Field
Toronto, Canada
Open-air
Result Verdict

Projected vs actual

Six statistics, scored honestly. Hits in Pitch-Green; misses stay calm.

Statistic
Projected
Prob
Actual
Verdict
Total Throw-inso30.5
40.0
85%
58
Hit
Total Foulso18.5
31.0
96%
30
Hit
Total Cornerso7.5
10.4
82%
13
Hit
Shots on Targeto6.5
7.9
68%
7
Hit
Total Goals (1.5+)o1.5
2.4
70%
2
Hit
Total Goals (0.5+)o0.5
2.4
86%
2
Hit
Exclusive

Statistical Projections

Six statistics, modeled per match. Confidence ratings shown openly.

Total Throw-ins
40throw-ins
High
Over 30.5
85%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Canada
23.3throw-ins
90% probability
Bosnia & Herzegovina
22.1throw-ins
86% probability
Total Fouls
31fouls
High
Over 18.5
96%
Adjustment: none
Per-team splits
Canada
13.6fouls
82% probability
Bosnia & Herzegovina
17.4fouls
96% probability
Total Corners
10.4corners
High
Over 7.5
82%
Per-team splits
Canada
6.4corners
86% probability
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4corners
58% probability
Shots on Target
7.9SoT
High
Over 6.5
68%
Per-team splits
Canada
3.4SoT
64% probability
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4.5SoT
80% probability
Total Goals (1.5+)
2.38goals
High
Over 1.5
70%
Per-team splits
Canada
–goals
–% probability
Bosnia & Herzegovina
–goals
–% probability
Total Goals (0.5+)
2.38goals
High
Over 0.5
86%
Per-team splits
Canada
0.97goals
62% probability
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1.41goals
76% probability
Reading the cards

How to read these projections

Each card shows a statistical line, the stored probability that the match total reaches that line, and a confidence rating. The figures were stored before kickoff and are shown as a historical archive, for information only, not advice.

Matchup Profile

What shapes the numbers

Strength mismatch
MODERATE
Slight heat
SLIGHT DOWNGRADE if hot
Venue

Venue and conditions

Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto, Canada
Climate class
Open-air

Open the climate impact page →

Deeper pages

Explore this match

Each statistic has its own page for this fixture.

Context

More from World Cup 2026

Group B preview →The knockout bracket →Tournament statistics →All fixtures →
SyncEdge

Archived World Cup projection details

Per-team splits, confidence ratings, adjustment notes: the complete intelligence layer.

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