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1. FC Bocholt v SV Bergisch Gladbach 09, Regionalliga West, Sat, 15 May 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 33. Sat, 15 May 2027

1. FC BocholtHome
vKick-off 12:00 UTC
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09Away
DWLLLLeague form, oldest to newestWLWLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, 1. FC Bocholt have 5 scored home results and SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: 1. FC Bocholt at home: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches); SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 away: 1.50 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. 1. FC Bocholt scored 2.40 per home match (5 measured matches); SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 scored 2.00 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.75 per club appearance across 202 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 10 of 11 pooled club appearances (90.9%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 101 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, 1. FC Bocholt
2.56
Expected goals, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09
2.44
Most likely score
2-2 (7%)
Three or more goals
87%
Both clubs score
84%
1. FC Bocholt score at least once
92%
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 score at least once
91%
Season sample
11 and 12 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

1. FC Bocholt win–
Draw–
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are 1. FC Bocholt goals, columns are SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
01%2%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
12%4%5%4%3%1%1%under 1%
22%5%7%5%3%2%1%under 1%
32%5%6%5%3%1%1%under 1%
41%3%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%
51%2%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.67 goals) and away average (1.83 goals).

Sample. 1. FC Bocholt 11 matches, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 12, the league 101, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 25 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 101 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.587.4%12.6%
2.569.9%30.1%
3.548.5%51.5%
4.529.1%70.9%

First-half goals · 101 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.575.7%24.3%
1.555.3%44.7%
2.518.4%81.6%
3.58.7%91.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
1. FC Bocholt at homeLDLWL
SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 awayWLWWLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
1. FC Bocholt at home, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 away
  • 92%
    Both teams scored
    League 72%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 88%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 70%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 73%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 49%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 37%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 29%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 4.7
    Avg total goals
    League 3.50
    5 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 55%
    5 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
1. FC Bocholt at home, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 away
1. FC Bocholt (home)SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 (away)
13Position8
LDLWLLast 5, oldest to newestLWWLL
5Played6
0.80Points per match1.50
20%Win %50%
2.40Scored / match2.00
3.00Conceded / match2.00
5.40Avg total goals4.00
100%Both scored83%
0%Clean sheets17%
0%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

1. FC BocholtSV Bergisch Gladbach 09
  • 1.601st half scored / match0.67
  • 1.801st half conceded / match0.83
  • 0.802nd half scored / match1.33
  • 1.202nd half conceded / match1.17
  • 20%Leading at half-time17%
  • 100%1st half over 0.583%
  • 100%1st half over 1.533%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 60%2nd half over 1.583%
  • 60%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

1. FC Bocholt at home, SV Bergisch Gladbach 09 away, this season.

Goals

1. FC BocholtSV Bergisch Gladbach 09
  • 2.40Scored / match2.00
  • 3.00Conceded / match2.00
  • 5.40Match total / match4.00
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 80%Scored 2+83%
  • 100%Conceded 1+83%
  • 80%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 100%Match over 2.583%
  • 80%Match over 3.567%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Regionalliga West matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.