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Accrington v Forest Green, EFL League Two, Sat, 7 Oct 2023: statistics and head to head

2023-24. Sat, 7 Oct 2023

AccringtonHome
21Full time, half-time 1–0
Forest GreenAway

Accrington won by 1 goal.

WLLLWLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Crown Ground. Photo: robert wade, CC BY-SA 2.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Accrington have 6 scored home results and Forest Green 5 scored away results stored in 2023-24. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Accrington at home: 1.67 points per match (6 measured matches); Forest Green away: 1.40 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Accrington scored 1.83 per home match (6 measured matches); Forest Green scored 1.20 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.52 per club appearance across 260 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 11 pooled club appearances (54.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Accrington: 3 wins; Forest Green: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half10
Second half11

The match in numbers

AccringtonForest Green
  • 16Shots15
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 4Corners5
  • 13Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Accrington

  • Shots16
  • On target4
  • Goals2

25% of shots on target, 50% of those scored.

Forest Green

  • Shots15
  • On target5
  • Goals1

33% of shots on target, 20% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Accrington wins
0
Draws
1
Forest Green wins
Goals / meeting
2.75
11 goals in 4 meetings
Both scored
75%
3 of 4 meetings
Over 1.5
75%
3 of 4 meetings
Over 2.5
75%
3 of 4 meetings
Over 3.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Accrington clean sheets
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Forest Green clean sheets
0%
0 of 4 meetings
Corners / meeting
7.50
4 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.50
4 with card data
  1. Accrington v Forest GreenSat, 4 Mar 2023 · EFL League One 2022-232–1HT 1–1
  2. Forest Green v AccringtonTue, 6 Sept 2022 · EFL League One 2022-232–1HT 1–0
  3. Accrington v Forest GreenSat, 17 Mar 2018 · EFL League Two 2017-183–1HT 1–0
  4. Forest Green v AccringtonSat, 30 Sept 2017 · EFL League Two 2017-180–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Accrington at homeDWDDWD
Forest Green awayLWLWDD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Accrington at home, Forest Green away
  • 46%
    Both teams scored
    League 59%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 91%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 76%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 54%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 56%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 22%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 33%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 15%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 18%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.7
    Avg total goals
    League 2.98
    23 + 23 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 76%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 39%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 10.8
    Corners per match
    League 10.40
    23 + 23 matches
  • 74%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 71%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 67%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 57%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 54%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 45%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 3.8
    Cards per match
    League 4.09
    23 + 23 matches
  • 48%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 59%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 26%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 39%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2023-24

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2023-24

Home and awayOverall
Accrington at home, Forest Green away
Accrington (home)Forest Green (away)
17Position24
LDLDWLast 5, oldest to newestLWLLW
23Played23
1.52Points per match1.00
43%Win %26%
1.48Scored / match1.09
1.17Conceded / match1.74
2.65Avg total goals2.83
48%Both scored44%
35%Clean sheets22%
30%Failed to score39%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

AccringtonForest Green
  • 0.521st half scored / match0.52
  • 0.571st half conceded / match0.83
  • 0.962nd half scored / match0.57
  • 0.612nd half conceded / match0.91
  • 30%Leading at half-time22%
  • 61%1st half over 0.574%
  • 35%1st half over 1.544%
  • 74%2nd half over 0.570%
  • 48%2nd half over 1.544%
  • 30%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Accrington at home, Forest Green away, this season.

Goals

AccringtonForest Green
  • 1.48Scored / match1.09
  • 1.17Conceded / match1.74
  • 2.65Match total / match2.83
  • 70%Scored 1+61%
  • 48%Scored 2+35%
  • 65%Conceded 1+78%
  • 30%Conceded 2+52%
  • 74%Match over 1.578%
  • 61%Match over 2.548%
  • 22%Match over 3.522%

Shots and xG

AccringtonForest Green
  • 16.35Shots for10.52
  • 11.39Shots against14.57
  • 5.04On target for3.57
  • 3.35On target against4.83
  • 9%Shot conversion10%

Corners

AccringtonForest Green
  • 6.04Corners for4.13
  • 5.00Corners against6.52
  • 11.04Match total10.65
  • 91%Over 7.574%
  • 78%Over 8.570%
  • 70%Over 9.565%
  • 65%Over 10.544%
  • 39%Over 11.530%

Cards

AccringtonForest Green
  • 2.13Cards for2.43
  • 1.22Cards against1.83
  • 3.35Match total4.26
  • 52%Over 2.570%
  • 35%Over 3.561%
  • 17%Over 4.535%
  • 17%Over 5.530%
  • 12.83Fouls committed11.96
Referee this season
B Atkinson
Matches
16
Cards / match
4.69
16 matches
Over 3.5 cards
63%
16 matches
Over 4.5 cards
50%
16 matches
Fouls / match
22.38
16 matches

The table, 2023-24

#ClubPGDPts
15Morecambe46-1461
16Tranmere46-357
17Accrington46-857
18Newport County46-1455
19Swindon46-654
22Colchester46-2145
23Sutton46-2542
24Forest Green46-3442
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League Two matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.