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AFC Wimbledon v Carlisle, EFL League Two, Sat, 12 Oct 2024: statistics and head to head

2024-25. Sat, 12 Oct 2024

40Full time, half-time 3–0
CarlisleAway

AFC Wimbledon won by 4 goals.

DDLLWLeague form, oldest to newestWWDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Plough Lane. Photo: Johnlp, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, AFC Wimbledon have 3 scored home results and Carlisle 5 scored away results stored in 2024-25. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: AFC Wimbledon at home: 3.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Carlisle away: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. AFC Wimbledon scored 2.67 per home match (3 measured matches); Carlisle scored 0.80 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.27 per club appearance across 234 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 8 pooled club appearances (37.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. AFC Wimbledon: 0 wins; Carlisle: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half30
Second half10

The match in numbers

AFC WimbledonCarlisle
  • 13Shots3
  • 4Shots on target1
  • 6Corners2
  • 16Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

AFC Wimbledon

  • Shots13
  • On target4
  • Goals4

31% of shots on target, 100% of those scored.

Carlisle

  • Shots3
  • On target1
  • Goals0

33% of shots on target, 0% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
AFC Wimbledon wins
1
Draws
1
Carlisle wins
Goals / meeting
1.50
3 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
AFC Wimbledon clean sheets
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Carlisle clean sheets
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
11.00
2 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
4.50
2 with card data · small sample
  1. AFC Wimbledon v CarlisleSat, 11 Feb 2023 · EFL League Two 2022-230–0HT 0–0
  2. Carlisle v AFC WimbledonSat, 17 Sept 2022 · EFL League Two 2022-232–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

AFC Wimbledon at home, Carlisle away
  • 35%
    Both teams scored
    League 49%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 94%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 61%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 70%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 43%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 46%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 22%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 24%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 9%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 11%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.3
    Avg total goals
    League 2.49
    23 + 23 matches
  • 59%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 22%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 30%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 9.5
    Corners per match
    League 9.67
    23 + 23 matches
  • 48%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 61%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 46%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 50%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 43%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 38%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 4.3
    Cards per match
    League 4.11
    23 + 23 matches
  • 61%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 59%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 44%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 40%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2024-25

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2024-25

AFC Wimbledon at home, Carlisle away
AFC Wimbledon (home)Carlisle (away)
5Position23
LDWDLLast 5, oldest to newestLLWDL
23Played23
1.91Points per match0.83
57%Win %22%
1.52Scored / match0.83
0.70Conceded / match1.57
2.22Avg total goals2.39
26%Both scored44%
57%Clean sheets26%
22%Failed to score39%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

AFC WimbledonCarlisle
  • 0.741st half scored / match0.30
  • 0.261st half conceded / match0.61
  • 0.782nd half scored / match0.52
  • 0.432nd half conceded / match0.96
  • 39%Leading at half-time22%
  • 52%1st half over 0.565%
  • 26%1st half over 1.517%
  • 74%2nd half over 0.578%
  • 26%2nd half over 1.548%
  • 17%Scored in both halves22%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

AFC Wimbledon at home, Carlisle away, this season.

Goals

AFC WimbledonCarlisle
  • 1.52Scored / match0.83
  • 0.70Conceded / match1.57
  • 2.22Match total / match2.39
  • 78%Scored 1+61%
  • 44%Scored 2+22%
  • 44%Conceded 1+74%
  • 26%Conceded 2+44%
  • 57%Match over 1.565%
  • 39%Match over 2.548%
  • 22%Match over 3.522%

Shots and xG

AFC WimbledonCarlisle
  • 13.13Shots for10.52
  • 7.48Shots against14.83
  • 4.48On target for3.39
  • 2.09On target against5.22
  • 12%Shot conversion8%

Corners

AFC WimbledonCarlisle
  • 4.96Corners for4.61
  • 3.52Corners against5.96
  • 8.48Match total10.57
  • 52%Over 7.574%
  • 30%Over 8.565%
  • 30%Over 9.561%
  • 30%Over 10.557%
  • 17%Over 11.552%

Cards

AFC WimbledonCarlisle
  • 2.00Cards for2.74
  • 1.96Cards against1.91
  • 3.96Match total4.65
  • 65%Over 2.591%
  • 52%Over 3.570%
  • 44%Over 4.544%
  • 26%Over 5.530%
  • 12.78Fouls committed11.65
Referee this season
N Hair
Matches
6
Cards / match
5.50
6 matches
Over 3.5 cards
100%
6 matches
Over 4.5 cards
67%
6 matches
Fouls / match
23.50
6 matches

The table, 2024-25

#ClubPGDPts
3Bradford461978
4Walsall462177
5AFC Wimbledon462173
6Notts County461972
7Chesterfield461970
21Accrington46-1650
22Newport County46-2449
23Carlisle46-2742
24Morecambe46-3236
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League Two matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.