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Airbus UK Broughton v Barry Town, Cymru Premier, Fri, 5 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 24. Fri, 5 Feb 2027

Airbus UK BroughtonHome
vKick-off 19:45 UTC
Barry TownAway
LWLWWLeague form, oldest to newestDLLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Airbus UK Broughton have 6 scored home results and Barry Town 7 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Airbus UK Broughton at home: 2.00 points per match (6 measured matches); Barry Town away: 1.71 points per match (7 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Airbus UK Broughton scored 2.50 per home match (6 measured matches); Barry Town scored 2.00 away (7). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.64 per club appearance across 208 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 13 pooled club appearances (53.8%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Airbus UK Broughton: 0 wins; Barry Town: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 104 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Airbus UK Broughton
2.24
Expected goals, Barry Town
1.67
Most likely score
2-1 (8%)
Three or more goals
75%
Both clubs score
72%
Airbus UK Broughton score at least once
89%
Barry Town score at least once
81%
Season sample
13 and 13 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Airbus UK Broughton win–
Draw–
Barry Town win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Airbus UK Broughton goals, columns are Barry Town goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
02%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
15%8%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
25%8%7%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
34%6%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%4%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%2%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.78 goals) and away average (1.51 goals).

Sample. Airbus UK Broughton 13 matches, Barry Town 13, the league 104, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 6 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 104 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.579.2%20.8%
2.560.4%39.6%
3.538.7%61.3%
4.525.5%74.5%

First-half goals · 104 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.574.5%25.5%
1.539.6%60.4%
2.522.6%77.4%
3.510.4%89.6%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Airbus UK Broughton wins
0
Draws
1
Barry Town wins
Goals / meeting
6.00
6 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Airbus UK Broughton clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Barry Town clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Barry Town v Airbus UK BroughtonFri, 28 Aug 2026 · Cymru Premier 2026-274–2HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Airbus UK Broughton at homeLWWLWW
Barry Town awayWWLLWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Airbus UK Broughton at home, Barry Town away
  • 52%
    Both teams scored
    League 52%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 99%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 86%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 61%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 61%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 52%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 38%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 38%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 25%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 3.8
    Avg total goals
    League 3.29
    6 + 7 matches
  • 93%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 75%
    6 + 7 matches
  • 69%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 39%
    6 + 7 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Airbus UK Broughton at home, Barry Town away
Airbus UK Broughton (home)Barry Town (away)
8Position6
WWLWWLast 5, oldest to newestWLLWL
6Played7
2.00Points per match1.71
67%Win %57%
2.50Scored / match2.00
1.17Conceded / match1.86
3.67Avg total goals3.86
33%Both scored71%
33%Clean sheets14%
33%Failed to score14%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Airbus UK BroughtonBarry Town
  • 1.501st half scored / match1.14
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.86
  • 1.002nd half scored / match0.86
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 67%Leading at half-time43%
  • 100%1st half over 0.586%
  • 67%1st half over 1.571%
  • 83%2nd half over 0.586%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.557%
  • 67%Scored in both halves43%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Airbus UK Broughton at home, Barry Town away, this season.

Goals

Airbus UK BroughtonBarry Town
  • 2.50Scored / match2.00
  • 1.17Conceded / match1.86
  • 3.67Match total / match3.86
  • 67%Scored 1+86%
  • 67%Scored 2+57%
  • 67%Conceded 1+86%
  • 50%Conceded 2+43%
  • 100%Match over 1.571%
  • 50%Match over 2.571%
  • 33%Match over 3.571%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Cymru Premier matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.