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Al-Okhdood v Al Bukayriyah, First Division League, Sun, 3 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 19. Sun, 3 Jan 2027

Al-OkhdoodHome
vKick-off 12:30 UTC
Al BukayriyahAway
DDDLLLeague form, oldest to newestDLLLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Al-Okhdood have 3 scored home results and Al Bukayriyah 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Al-Okhdood at home: 0.67 points per match (3 measured matches); Al Bukayriyah away: 0.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Al-Okhdood scored 1.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Al Bukayriyah scored 1.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.09 per club appearance across 108 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 6 pooled club appearances (100.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Al-Okhdood: 0 wins; Al Bukayriyah: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 54 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Al-Okhdood
2.39
Expected goals, Al Bukayriyah
1.14
Most likely score
2-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
68%
Both clubs score
62%
Al-Okhdood score at least once
91%
Al Bukayriyah score at least once
68%
Season sample
6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Al-Okhdood win–
Draw–
Al Bukayriyah win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Al-Okhdood goals, columns are Al Bukayriyah goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
17%8%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%10%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
37%8%4%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
44%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
52%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
61%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.17 goals) and away average (1.02 goals).

Sample. Al-Okhdood 6 matches, Al Bukayriyah 6, the league 54, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 8 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 54 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.560.7%39.3%
2.535.7%64.3%
3.525.0%75.0%
4.512.5%87.5%

First-half goals · 54 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.557.1%42.9%
1.530.4%69.6%
2.55.4%94.6%
3.51.8%98.2%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Al-Okhdood wins
1
Draws
0
Al Bukayriyah wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
2 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Al-Okhdood clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Al Bukayriyah clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Al-Okhdood v Al BukayriyahWed, 26 Aug 2026 · First Division League 2026-271–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Al-OkhdoodWDDDLL
Al BukayriyahDDLLLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Al-Okhdood at home, Al Bukayriyah away
  • 100%
    Both teams scored
    League 44%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 80%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 61%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 35%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 24%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 11%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 3.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.18
    3 + 3 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 57%
    3 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 30%
    3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Al-Okhdood at home, Al Bukayriyah away
Al-Okhdood (home)Al Bukayriyah (away)
15Position17
DDLLast 5, oldest to newestDLL
3Played3
0.67Points per match0.33
0%Win %0%
1.33Scored / match1.00
2.67Conceded / match2.67
4.00Avg total goals3.67
100%Both scored100%
0%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score0%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Al-OkhdoodAl Bukayriyah
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.331st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.332nd half scored / match1.00
  • 2.332nd half conceded / match1.67
  • 67%Leading at half-time0%
  • 67%1st half over 0.567%
  • 33%1st half over 1.533%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.567%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Al-Okhdood at home, Al Bukayriyah away, this season.

Goals

Al-OkhdoodAl Bukayriyah
  • 1.33Scored / match1.00
  • 2.67Conceded / match2.67
  • 4.00Match total / match3.67
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 33%Scored 2+0%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 67%Conceded 2+67%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 67%Match over 2.567%
  • 67%Match over 3.567%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
13Al Raed6-37
14Hajer6-36
15Al-Okhdood6-46
16Al Jandal605
17Al Bukayriyah6-72
18Al-Jeel6-72
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for First Division League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.