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Almeria v Andorra, La Liga 2, Sun, 15 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 14. Sun, 15 Nov 2026

AlmeriaHome
vKick-off 19:00 UTC
AndorraAway
WWWWWLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos. Photo: JMAG 08, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Almeria have 4 scored home results and Andorra 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Almeria at home: 3.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Andorra away: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Almeria scored 2.50 per home match (4 measured matches); Andorra scored 1.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 182 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 8 pooled club appearances (50.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Almeria: 2 wins; Andorra: 0 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Almeria at home and Andorra away.

Almeria at home

xG 2.26
  • Shots per match18.0
  • On target per match6.5
  • Goals per match2.5

Andorra away

xG 1.07
  • Shots per match10.0
  • On target per match3.5
  • Goals per match1.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 91 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Almeria
2.58
Expected goals, Andorra
0.62
Most likely score
2-0 (14%)
Three or more goals
62%
Both clubs score
43%
Almeria score at least once
92%
Andorra score at least once
46%
Season sample
8 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Almeria win–
Draw–
Andorra win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Almeria goals, columns are Andorra goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
111%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
214%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
312%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
48%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
54%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
62%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
71%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.48 goals) and away average (1.16 goals).

Sample. Almeria 8 matches, Andorra 8, the league 91, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 8 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 91 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.572.0%28.0%
2.549.5%50.5%
3.532.3%67.7%
4.517.2%82.8%

First-half goals · 91 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.569.9%30.1%
1.533.3%66.7%
2.516.1%83.9%
3.54.3%95.7%

Corners · 88 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.548.9%51.1%
9.537.8%62.2%
10.525.6%74.4%

Yellow + red card events · 88 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.598.9%1.1%
1.595.6%4.4%
2.586.7%13.3%
3.581.1%18.9%
4.560.0%40.0%
5.542.2%57.8%
6.530.0%70.0%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
Almeria wins
0
Draws
0
Andorra wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
8 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Almeria clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Andorra clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
12.50
2 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
4.50
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Almeria v AndorraFri, 13 Feb 2026 · La Liga 2 2025-263–2HT 1–1
  2. Andorra v AlmeriaSat, 6 Dec 2025 · La Liga 2 2025-261–2HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Almeria at homeLWWWWW
Andorra awayLLLLWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Almeria at home, Andorra away
  • 50%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 90%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 32%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.1
    Avg total goals
    League 2.65
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 70%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 33%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 10.4
    Corners per match
    League 8.83
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 38%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 25%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 5.6
    Cards per match
    League 5.30
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 82%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 60%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Almeria at home, Andorra away
Almeria (home)Andorra (away)
3Position20
WWWWLast 5, oldest to newestLLWD
4Played4
3.00Points per match1.00
100%Win %25%
2.50Scored / match1.25
0.75Conceded / match1.75
3.25Avg total goals3.00
50%Both scored50%
50%Clean sheets25%
0%Failed to score50%
2.26xG for1.07
0.84xG against1.53

Half by half

AlmeriaAndorra
  • 2.001st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.501st half conceded / match0.25
  • 0.502nd half scored / match0.75
  • 0.252nd half conceded / match1.50
  • 75%Leading at half-time25%
  • 100%1st half over 0.550%
  • 75%1st half over 1.525%
  • 50%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 25%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Almeria at home, Andorra away, this season.

Goals

AlmeriaAndorra
  • 2.50Scored / match1.25
  • 0.75Conceded / match1.75
  • 3.25Match total / match3.00
  • 100%Scored 1+50%
  • 100%Scored 2+50%
  • 50%Conceded 1+75%
  • 25%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.550%
  • 75%Match over 2.550%
  • 25%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

AlmeriaAndorra
  • 18.00Shots for10.00
  • 9.25Shots against15.25
  • 6.50On target for3.50
  • 2.25On target against4.50
  • 14%Shot conversion13%
  • 2.26xG for1.07
  • 0.84xG against1.53

Corners

AlmeriaAndorra
  • 5.00Corners for3.00
  • 5.00Corners against7.75
  • 10.00Match total10.75
  • 50%Over 7.575%
  • 50%Over 8.550%
  • 50%Over 9.550%
  • 50%Over 10.550%
  • 25%Over 11.525%

Cards

AlmeriaAndorra
  • 1.25Cards for5.00
  • 2.25Cards against2.75
  • 3.50Match total7.75
  • 75%Over 2.5100%
  • 75%Over 3.5100%
  • 25%Over 4.5100%
  • 0%Over 5.5100%
  • 12.75Fouls committed18.50

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Eibar81121
2Castellon81220
3Almeria8818
4Sabadell9316
5Girona8614
18Sociedad B9-58
19Cadiz817
20Andorra8-37
21Ceuta9-125
22Albacete8-101
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for La Liga 2 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.