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Annan Athletic v Forfar, Scottish League Two, Sat, 17 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 34. Sat, 17 Apr 2027

Annan AthleticHome
vKick-off 14:00 UTC
ForfarAway
WLWLLLeague form, oldest to newestDLLWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Annan Athletic have 5 scored home results and Forfar 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Annan Athletic at home: 1.20 points per match (5 measured matches); Forfar away: 0.40 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Annan Athletic scored 1.40 per home match (5 measured matches); Forfar scored 0.80 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.70 per club appearance across 90 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 10 pooled club appearances (60.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Annan Athletic: 3 wins; Forfar: 6 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match.

Annan Athletic

  • Shots per match9.2
  • On target per match3.4
  • Goals per match1.0

Forfar

  • Shots per match8.6
  • On target per match4.2
  • Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 45 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Annan Athletic
1.17
Expected goals, Forfar
0.58
Most likely score
1-0 (20%)
Three or more goals
26%
Both clubs score
30%
Annan Athletic score at least once
69%
Forfar score at least once
44%
Season sample
9 and 9 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Annan Athletic win–
Draw–
Forfar win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Annan Athletic goals, columns are Forfar goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
017%10%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
120%12%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
212%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (2.02 goals) and away average (1.38 goals).

Sample. Annan Athletic 9 matches, Forfar 9, the league 45, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.580.9%19.1%
2.561.7%38.3%
3.542.6%57.4%
4.527.7%72.3%

First-half goals · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.9%19.1%
1.540.4%59.6%
2.519.1%80.9%
3.58.5%91.5%

Corners · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.557.4%42.6%
9.553.2%46.8%
10.542.6%57.4%

Yellow + red card events · 45 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.6%6.4%
1.589.4%10.6%
2.580.9%19.1%
3.557.4%42.6%
4.538.3%61.7%
5.525.5%74.5%
6.514.9%85.1%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Annan Athletic wins
1
Draws
6
Forfar wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
30 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Annan Athletic clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Forfar clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.00
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.40
10 with card data
  1. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 19 Sept 2026 · Scottish League Two 2026-271–0HT 1–0
  2. Annan Athletic v ForfarSat, 2 May 2026 · Scottish League Two 2025-261–1HT 1–1
  3. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 21 Feb 2026 · Scottish League Two 2025-262–1HT 1–0
  4. Annan Athletic v ForfarSat, 13 Dec 2025 · Scottish League Two 2025-263–1HT 0–1
  5. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 20 Sept 2025 · Scottish League Two 2025-261–0HT 1–0
  6. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 18 Mar 2023 · Scottish League Two 2022-232–1HT 1–1
  7. Annan Athletic v ForfarSat, 7 Jan 2023 · Scottish League Two 2022-230–2HT 0–2
  8. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 5 Nov 2022 · Scottish League Two 2022-231–4HT 0–2
  9. Annan Athletic v ForfarSat, 3 Sept 2022 · Scottish League Two 2022-232–1HT 0–1
  10. Forfar v Annan AthleticSat, 16 Apr 2022 · Scottish League Two 2021-225–1HT 5–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Annan Athletic at homeDWWWWL
Forfar awayDLDDLL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
  • 39%
    Both teams scored
    League 53%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 67%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 82%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 44%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 11%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 42%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 11%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 27%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 3.40
    9 + 9 matches
  • 72%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 82%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 28%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 9.7
    Corners per match
    League 9.96
    9 + 9 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 58%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 44%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 53%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 42%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 3.6
    Cards per match
    League 4.20
    9 + 9 matches
  • 39%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 58%
    9 + 9 matches
  • 28%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 38%
    9 + 9 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
Annan AthleticForfar
9Position8
WLWLLLast 5, oldest to newestDLLWL
9Played9
1.00Points per match1.22
33%Win %33%
1.00Scored / match1.00
1.22Conceded / match1.67
2.22Avg total goals2.67
33%Both scored44%
33%Clean sheets33%
33%Failed to score22%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Annan AthleticForfar
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.67
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.78
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.33
  • 0.892nd half conceded / match0.89
  • 22%Leading at half-time44%
  • 56%1st half over 0.589%
  • 11%1st half over 1.544%
  • 89%2nd half over 0.567%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.544%
  • 22%Scored in both halves11%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Both clubs, every match this season.

Goals

Annan AthleticForfar
  • 1.00Scored / match1.00
  • 1.22Conceded / match1.67
  • 2.22Match total / match2.67
  • 67%Scored 1+78%
  • 33%Scored 2+11%
  • 67%Conceded 1+67%
  • 33%Conceded 2+44%
  • 56%Match over 1.578%
  • 33%Match over 2.556%
  • 11%Match over 3.511%

Shots and xG

Annan AthleticForfar
  • 9.22Shots for8.56
  • 9.22Shots against13.56
  • 3.44On target for4.22
  • 4.11On target against5.22
  • 11%Shot conversion12%

Corners

Annan AthleticForfar
  • 4.67Corners for4.78
  • 4.22Corners against5.78
  • 8.89Match total10.56
  • 56%Over 7.589%
  • 44%Over 8.556%
  • 44%Over 9.544%
  • 33%Over 10.533%
  • 22%Over 11.533%

Cards

Annan AthleticForfar
  • 2.22Cards for1.67
  • 1.89Cards against1.33
  • 4.11Match total3.00
  • 78%Over 2.556%
  • 56%Over 3.522%
  • 33%Over 4.522%
  • 33%Over 5.511%
  • 11.89Fouls committed13.33

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
6Kelty Hearts9-512
7Dumbarton9-512
8Forfar9-611
9Annan Athletic9-29
10Stirling9-118
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Scottish League Two matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.