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Antwerp v Club Brugge, Belgian Pro League, Sat, 30 Jan 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 19. Sat, 30 Jan 2027

AntwerpHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
Club BruggeAway
DLLLLLeague form, oldest to newestLWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Antwerp have 4 scored home results and Club Brugge 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Antwerp at home: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Club Brugge away: 2.25 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Antwerp scored 1.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Club Brugge scored 2.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.49 per club appearance across 136 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 8 pooled club appearances (62.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Antwerp: 3 wins; Club Brugge: 6 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Antwerp at home and Club Brugge away.

Antwerp at home

xG 1.31
  • Shots per match14.8
  • On target per match5.5
  • Goals per match1.8

Club Brugge away

xG 1.46
  • Shots per match16.3
  • On target per match5.0
  • Goals per match2.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 68 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Antwerp
0.59
Expected goals, Club Brugge
3.02
Most likely score
0-3 (13%)
Three or more goals
70%
Both clubs score
42%
Antwerp score at least once
45%
Club Brugge score at least once
95%
Season sample
7 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Antwerp win–
Draw–
Club Brugge win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Antwerp goals, columns are Club Brugge goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%8%12%13%9%6%3%1%
12%5%7%7%6%3%2%1%
2under 1%1%2%2%2%1%1%under 1%
3under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.66 goals) and away average (1.31 goals).

Sample. Antwerp 7 matches, Club Brugge 8, the league 68, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 68 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.6%21.4%
2.561.4%38.6%
3.534.3%65.7%
4.517.1%82.9%

First-half goals · 68 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.578.6%21.4%
1.540.0%60.0%
2.511.4%88.6%
3.54.3%95.7%

Corners · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.563.1%36.9%
9.549.2%50.8%
10.546.2%53.8%

Yellow + red card events · 63 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.593.8%6.2%
1.575.4%24.6%
2.563.1%36.9%
3.543.1%56.9%
4.529.2%70.8%
5.520.0%80.0%
6.56.2%93.8%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Antwerp wins
1
Draws
6
Club Brugge wins
Goals / meeting
2.60
26 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Antwerp clean sheets
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Club Brugge clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.90
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.30
10 with card data
  1. Club Brugge v AntwerpSun, 13 Sept 2026 · Belgian Pro League 2026-273–1HT 1–1
  2. Club Brugge v AntwerpSun, 30 Nov 2025 · Belgian Pro League 2025-260–1HT 0–0
  3. Antwerp v Club BruggeSun, 26 Oct 2025 · Belgian Pro League 2025-260–1HT 0–1
  4. Club Brugge v AntwerpSun, 25 May 2025 · Belgian Pro League 2024-251–1HT 1–1
  5. Antwerp v Club BruggeSun, 6 Apr 2025 · Belgian Pro League 2024-252–3HT 0–3
  6. Antwerp v Club BruggeSun, 2 Feb 2025 · Belgian Pro League 2024-252–1HT 0–1
  7. Club Brugge v AntwerpSun, 18 Aug 2024 · Belgian Pro League 2024-251–0HT 0–0
  8. Antwerp v Club BruggeSun, 5 May 2024 · Belgian Pro League 2023-241–2HT 0–0
  9. Club Brugge v AntwerpSun, 14 Apr 2024 · Belgian Pro League 2023-243–0HT 1–0
  10. Antwerp v Club BruggeSun, 4 Feb 2024 · Belgian Pro League 2023-242–1HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Antwerp at homeLWWDLL
Club Brugge awayWDWLWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Antwerp at home, Club Brugge away
  • 63%
    Both teams scored
    League 41%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 79%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 62%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.97
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 79%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 10.2
    Corners per match
    League 9.95
    4 + 3 matches
  • 46%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 63%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 49%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 33%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 46%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 4.3
    Cards per match
    League 3.37
    4 + 3 matches
  • 54%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 43%
    4 + 3 matches
  • 42%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 29%
    4 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Antwerp at home, Club Brugge away
Antwerp (home)Club Brugge (away)
13Position2
WDLLLast 5, oldest to newestWLWW
4Played4
1.00Points per match2.25
25%Win %75%
1.75Scored / match2.25
2.75Conceded / match0.75
4.50Avg total goals3.00
75%Both scored50%
0%Clean sheets50%
25%Failed to score0%
1.31xG for1.46
2.25xG against0.92

Half by half

AntwerpClub Brugge
  • 0.251st half scored / match1.25
  • 0.751st half conceded / match0.25
  • 1.502nd half scored / match1.00
  • 2.002nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 0%Leading at half-time75%
  • 75%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 25%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 100%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 25%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Antwerp at home, Club Brugge away, this season.

Goals

AntwerpClub Brugge
  • 1.75Scored / match2.25
  • 2.75Conceded / match0.75
  • 4.50Match total / match3.00
  • 75%Scored 1+100%
  • 50%Scored 2+50%
  • 100%Conceded 1+50%
  • 75%Conceded 2+25%
  • 100%Match over 1.575%
  • 75%Match over 2.575%
  • 50%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

AntwerpClub Brugge
  • 14.75Shots for16.33
  • 15.50Shots against12.00
  • 5.50On target for5.00
  • 7.25On target against3.67
  • 12%Shot conversion10%
  • 1.31xG for1.46
  • 2.25xG against0.92

Corners

AntwerpClub Brugge
  • 4.25Corners for10.00
  • 3.75Corners against2.33
  • 8.00Match total12.33
  • 75%Over 7.567%
  • 25%Over 8.567%
  • 0%Over 9.567%
  • 0%Over 10.567%
  • 0%Over 11.533%

Cards

AntwerpClub Brugge
  • 1.75Cards for2.00
  • 2.75Cards against2.00
  • 4.50Match total4.00
  • 75%Over 2.567%
  • 75%Over 3.533%
  • 50%Over 4.533%
  • 50%Over 5.533%
  • 15.25Fouls committed11.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Gent81122
2Club Brugge81521
3St. Gilloise71819
4Charleroi7818
11Beveren8-69
12St Truiden708
13Antwerp7-47
14Oud-Heverlee Leuven7-84
15RAAL La Louviere8-104
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Belgian Pro League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.