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Aston Villa v Burnley, Premier League, Sat, 30 Dec 2023: statistics and head to head

2023-24. Sat, 30 Dec 2023

32Full time, half-time 2–1

Aston Villa won by 1 goal.

WDLDLLeague form, oldest to newestWDLLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Villa Park. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Aston Villa have 9 scored home results and Burnley 9 scored away results stored in 2023-24. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Aston Villa at home: 2.78 points per match (9 measured matches); Burnley away: 0.89 points per match (9 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Aston Villa scored 2.89 per home match (9 measured matches); Burnley scored 0.89 away (9). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.55 per club appearance across 378 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 11 of 18 pooled club appearances (61.1%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 7. Aston Villa: 3 wins; Burnley: 1 wins; draws: 3.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half21
Second half11

The match in numbers

Aston VillaBurnley
  • 19Shots9
  • 7Shots on target5
  • 6Corners2
  • 9Fouls14
  • 4Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1

From shots to goals

Aston Villa

  • Shots19
  • On target7
  • Goals3

37% of shots on target, 43% of those scored.

Burnley

  • Shots9
  • On target5
  • Goals2

56% of shots on target, 40% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

7 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

3
Aston Villa wins
3
Draws
1
Burnley wins
Goals / meeting
3.14
22 goals in 7 meetings
Both scored
86%
6 of 7 meetings
Over 1.5
86%
6 of 7 meetings
Over 2.5
71%
5 of 7 meetings
Over 3.5
57%
4 of 7 meetings
Aston Villa clean sheets
14%
1 of 7 meetings
Burnley clean sheets
14%
1 of 7 meetings
Corners / meeting
11.14
7 with corner data
Cards / meeting
2.43
7 with card data
  1. Burnley v Aston VillaSun, 27 Aug 2023 · Premier League 2023-241–3HT 0–2
  2. Aston Villa v BurnleyThu, 19 May 2022 · Premier League 2021-221–1HT 0–1
  3. Burnley v Aston VillaSat, 7 May 2022 · Premier League 2021-221–3HT 0–2
  4. Burnley v Aston VillaWed, 27 Jan 2021 · Premier League 2020-213–2HT 0–1
  5. Aston Villa v BurnleyThu, 17 Dec 2020 · Premier League 2020-210–0HT 0–0
  6. Burnley v Aston VillaWed, 1 Jan 2020 · Premier League 2019-201–2HT 0–2
  7. Aston Villa v BurnleySat, 28 Sept 2019 · Premier League 2019-202–2HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Aston Villa at home, Burnley away
  • 71%
    Both teams scored
    League 62%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 90%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 71%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 65%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 55%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 44%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 21%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 23%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 3.5
    Avg total goals
    League 3.28
    19 + 19 matches
  • 82%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 75%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 42%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 42%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 10.4
    Corners per match
    League 10.84
    19 + 19 matches
  • 68%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 74%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 58%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 62%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 42%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 52%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 5.0
    Cards per match
    League 4.32
    19 + 19 matches
  • 82%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 63%
    19 + 19 matches
  • 61%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 44%
    19 + 19 matches

Stored season context, 2023-24

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2023-24

Aston Villa at home, Burnley away
Aston Villa (home)Burnley (away)
4Position19
WDWDDLast 5, oldest to newestDLWDL
19Played19
2.11Points per match0.74
63%Win %16%
2.53Scored / match1.16
1.47Conceded / match1.84
4.00Avg total goals3.00
74%Both scored68%
21%Clean sheets5%
5%Failed to score26%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Aston VillaBurnley
  • 1.111st half scored / match0.58
  • 0.421st half conceded / match0.68
  • 1.422nd half scored / match0.58
  • 1.052nd half conceded / match1.16
  • 58%Leading at half-time26%
  • 79%1st half over 0.584%
  • 47%1st half over 1.537%
  • 95%2nd half over 0.590%
  • 84%2nd half over 1.563%
  • 58%Scored in both halves16%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Aston Villa at home, Burnley away, this season.

Goals

Aston VillaBurnley
  • 2.53Scored / match1.16
  • 1.47Conceded / match1.84
  • 4.00Match total / match3.00
  • 95%Scored 1+74%
  • 68%Scored 2+32%
  • 79%Conceded 1+95%
  • 42%Conceded 2+58%
  • 90%Match over 1.590%
  • 79%Match over 2.563%
  • 74%Match over 3.537%

Shots and xG

Aston VillaBurnley
  • 14.74Shots for9.42
  • 10.74Shots against19.21
  • 5.53On target for3.63
  • 3.89On target against7.05
  • 17%Shot conversion12%

Corners

Aston VillaBurnley
  • 6.00Corners for3.95
  • 3.68Corners against7.21
  • 9.68Match total11.16
  • 68%Over 7.595%
  • 63%Over 8.574%
  • 47%Over 9.568%
  • 32%Over 10.553%
  • 32%Over 11.547%

Cards

Aston VillaBurnley
  • 2.58Cards for2.63
  • 2.63Cards against2.21
  • 5.21Match total4.84
  • 90%Over 2.590%
  • 79%Over 3.584%
  • 63%Over 4.558%
  • 47%Over 5.537%
  • 11.16Fouls committed12.05
Referee this season
S Attwell
Matches
17
Cards / match
4.53
17 matches
Over 3.5 cards
59%
17 matches
Over 4.5 cards
59%
17 matches
Fouls / match
20.71
17 matches

The table, 2023-24

#ClubPGDPts
2Arsenal386289
3Liverpool384582
4Aston Villa381568
5Tottenham381366
6Chelsea381463
17Nott'm Forest38-1836
18Luton38-3326
19Burnley38-3724
20Sheffield United38-6916
Full table →

Where to watch

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Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.