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MatchDaySync

Aston Villa v Everton, Premier League, Wed, 2 Dec 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 13. Wed, 2 Dec 2026

Aston VillaHome
vKick-off 20:00 UTC
EvertonAway
LDLWDLeague form, oldest to newestWDDDW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Villa Park. Photo: Arne Müseler / arne-mueseler.com / Original source, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Aston Villa have 3 scored home results and Everton 2 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Aston Villa at home: 0.33 points per match (3 measured matches); Everton away: 1.00 points per match (2 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Aston Villa scored 1.00 per home match (3 measured matches); Everton scored 0.50 away (2). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.44 per club appearance across 112 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 5 pooled club appearances (60.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Aston Villa: 7 wins; Everton: 1 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Aston Villa at home and Everton away.

Aston Villa at home

xG 0.57
  • Shots per match7.0
  • On target per match2.5
  • Goals per match1.0

Everton away

xG 1.48
  • Shots per match12.5
  • On target per match5.0
  • Goals per match0.5

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 56 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Aston Villa
0.46
Expected goals, Everton
1.39
Most likely score
0-1 (22%)
Three or more goals
28%
Both clubs score
27%
Aston Villa score at least once
37%
Everton score at least once
75%
Season sample
6 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Aston Villa win–
Draw–
Everton win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Aston Villa goals, columns are Everton goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
016%22%15%7%2%1%under 1%under 1%
17%10%7%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
22%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
3under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.57 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. Aston Villa 6 matches, Everton 5, the league 56, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 27 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 56 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.1%25.9%
2.553.4%46.6%
3.534.5%65.5%
4.520.7%79.3%

First-half goals · 56 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.558.6%41.4%
1.537.9%62.1%
2.517.2%82.8%
3.56.9%93.1%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.548.1%51.9%
9.544.2%55.8%
10.536.5%63.5%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.2%3.8%
1.588.5%11.5%
2.575.0%25.0%
3.553.8%46.2%
4.538.5%61.5%
5.521.2%78.8%
6.57.7%92.3%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

7
Aston Villa wins
2
Draws
1
Everton wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
20 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Aston Villa clean sheets
70%
7 of 10 meetings
Everton clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
10.50
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.70
10 with card data
  1. Aston Villa v EvertonSun, 18 Jan 2026 · Premier League 2025-260–1HT 0–0
  2. Everton v Aston VillaSat, 13 Sept 2025 · Premier League 2025-260–0HT 0–0
  3. Everton v Aston VillaWed, 15 Jan 2025 · Premier League 2024-250–1HT 0–0
  4. Aston Villa v EvertonSat, 14 Sept 2024 · Premier League 2024-253–2HT 1–2
  5. Everton v Aston VillaSun, 14 Jan 2024 · Premier League 2023-240–0HT 0–0
  6. Aston Villa v EvertonSun, 20 Aug 2023 · Premier League 2023-244–0HT 2–0
  7. Everton v Aston VillaSat, 25 Feb 2023 · Premier League 2022-230–2HT 0–0
  8. Aston Villa v EvertonSat, 13 Aug 2022 · Premier League 2022-232–1HT 1–0
  9. Everton v Aston VillaSat, 22 Jan 2022 · Premier League 2021-220–1HT 0–1
  10. Aston Villa v EvertonSat, 18 Sept 2021 · Premier League 2021-223–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Aston Villa at homeWLWLLD
Everton awayLDLWDD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Aston Villa at home, Everton away
  • 58%
    Both teams scored
    League 54%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 54%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 20%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 1.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.87
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 59%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 17%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 37%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 10.3
    Corners per match
    League 9.38
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 48%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 44%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 36%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 4.5
    Cards per match
    League 3.88
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 54%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 38%
    2 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Aston Villa at home, Everton away
Aston Villa (home)Everton (away)
14Position8
LLDLast 5, oldest to newestDD
3Played2
0.33Points per match1.00
0%Win %0%
1.00Scored / match0.50
1.67Conceded / match0.50
2.67Avg total goals1.00
67%Both scored50%
0%Clean sheets50%
33%Failed to score50%
0.57xG for1.48
1.67xG against1.42

Half by half

Aston VillaEverton
  • 0.331st half scored / match0.00
  • 0.331st half conceded / match0.50
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.50
  • 1.332nd half conceded / match0.00
  • 0%Leading at half-time0%
  • 33%1st half over 0.550%
  • 33%1st half over 1.50%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 67%2nd half over 1.50%
  • 33%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Aston Villa at home, Everton away, this season.

Goals

Aston VillaEverton
  • 1.00Scored / match0.50
  • 1.67Conceded / match0.50
  • 2.67Match total / match1.00
  • 67%Scored 1+50%
  • 33%Scored 2+0%
  • 100%Conceded 1+50%
  • 67%Conceded 2+0%
  • 67%Match over 1.550%
  • 67%Match over 2.50%
  • 33%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

Aston VillaEverton
  • 7.00Shots for12.50
  • 14.50Shots against15.50
  • 2.50On target for5.00
  • 4.50On target against3.50
  • 7%Shot conversion4%
  • 0.57xG for1.48
  • 1.67xG against1.42

Corners

Aston VillaEverton
  • 4.00Corners for6.50
  • 2.50Corners against7.50
  • 6.50Match total14.00
  • 0%Over 7.5100%
  • 0%Over 8.5100%
  • 0%Over 9.5100%
  • 0%Over 10.5100%
  • 0%Over 11.550%

Cards

Aston VillaEverton
  • 2.50Cards for2.00
  • 3.00Cards against1.50
  • 5.50Match total3.50
  • 100%Over 2.550%
  • 100%Over 3.550%
  • 50%Over 4.550%
  • 50%Over 5.50%
  • 14.00Fouls committed11.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
6Leeds639
7Liverpool539
8Everton539
9Ipswich6-39
10Hull528
12Man United606
13Nott'm Forest5-15
14Aston Villa6-55
15Crystal Palace5-54
16Sunderland6-64
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Premier League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.