Skip to content
MatchDaySync

Atromitos v OFI Crete, Greek Super League, Sat, 20 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 22. Sat, 20 Feb 2027

AtromitosHome
vKick-off 18:00 UTC
OFI CreteAway
LDDLLLeague form, oldest to newestLWWDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Atromitos have 4 scored home results and OFI Crete 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Atromitos at home: 0.25 points per match (4 measured matches); OFI Crete away: 1.00 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Atromitos scored 1.00 per home match (4 measured matches); OFI Crete scored 0.67 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.28 per club appearance across 120 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 7 pooled club appearances (71.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match.

Atromitos

xG 0.91
  • Shots per match11.6
  • On target per match3.0
  • Goals per match0.8

OFI Crete

  • Shots per match–
  • On target per match–
  • Goals per match1.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 60 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Atromitos
0.86
Expected goals, OFI Crete
1.15
Most likely score
0-1 (15%)
Three or more goals
33%
Both clubs score
39%
Atromitos score at least once
58%
OFI Crete score at least once
68%
Season sample
8 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Atromitos win–
Draw–
OFI Crete win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Atromitos goals, columns are OFI Crete goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
013%15%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
111%13%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
25%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.62 goals) and away average (0.95 goals).

Sample. Atromitos 8 matches, OFI Crete 6, the league 60, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 9 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 60 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.579.0%21.0%
2.546.8%53.2%
3.529.0%71.0%
4.56.5%93.5%

First-half goals · 60 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.572.6%27.4%
1.540.3%59.7%
2.53.2%96.8%
3.51.6%98.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Atromitos at homeWLLDLL
OFI Crete awayWLDWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
  • 54%
    Both teams scored
    League 47%
    8 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    8 + 6 matches
  • 79%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    8 + 6 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 47%
    8 + 6 matches
  • 8%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 28%
    8 + 6 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 5%
    8 + 6 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 2.57
    8 + 6 matches
  • 73%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 73%
    8 + 6 matches
  • 44%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 40%
    8 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Both clubs, all matches this season
AtromitosOFI Crete
18Position10
LDDLLLast 5, oldest to newestLWWDL
8Played6
0.25Points per match1.67
0%Win %50%
0.75Scored / match1.33
1.50Conceded / match1.17
2.25Avg total goals2.50
75%Both scored33%
0%Clean sheets50%
25%Failed to score17%
0.91xG for–
1.54xG against–

Half by half

AtromitosOFI Crete
  • 0.631st half scored / match0.83
  • 0.501st half conceded / match0.50
  • 0.132nd half scored / match0.50
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match0.67
  • 25%Leading at half-time33%
  • 63%1st half over 0.583%
  • 38%1st half over 1.550%
  • 88%2nd half over 0.567%
  • 13%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Both clubs, every match this season.

Goals

AtromitosOFI Crete
  • 0.75Scored / match1.33
  • 1.50Conceded / match1.17
  • 2.25Match total / match2.50
  • 75%Scored 1+83%
  • 0%Scored 2+50%
  • 100%Conceded 1+50%
  • 50%Conceded 2+50%
  • 75%Match over 1.583%
  • 50%Match over 2.550%
  • 0%Match over 3.517%

Shots and xG

AtromitosOFI Crete
  • 11.60Shots for–
  • 13.60Shots against–
  • 3.00On target for–
  • 4.40On target against–
  • 7%Shot conversion–
  • 0.91xG for–
  • 1.54xG against–

Corners

AtromitosOFI Crete
  • 3.40Corners for–
  • 5.00Corners against–
  • 8.40Match total–
  • 60%Over 7.5–
  • 40%Over 8.5–
  • 40%Over 9.5–
  • 20%Over 10.5–
  • 20%Over 11.5–

Cards

AtromitosOFI Crete
  • 3.00Cards for–
  • 4.20Cards against–
  • 7.20Match total–
  • 80%Over 2.5–
  • 80%Over 3.5–
  • 80%Over 4.5–
  • 80%Over 5.5–
  • 17.00Fouls committed–

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
8Olympiakos5210
8Olympiacos FC5210
10OFI Crete6110
11Aris8-1110
12Panetolikos7-49
16Kalamata6-34
17Volos NFC8-83
18Atromitos8-62
19Levadeiakos8-161
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Greek Super League matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.