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Aveley FC v Cheshunt FC, Isthmian Football League, Premier Division, Mon, 8 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 31. Mon, 8 Feb 2027

Aveley FCHome
vKick-off 19:45 UTC
Cheshunt FCAway
DLLLDLeague form, oldest to newestLLWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Aveley FC have 5 scored home results and Cheshunt FC 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Aveley FC at home: 1.00 points per match (5 measured matches); Cheshunt FC away: 0.83 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Aveley FC scored 1.80 per home match (5 measured matches); Cheshunt FC scored 0.67 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.67 per club appearance across 226 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 11 pooled club appearances (54.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Aveley FC: 0 wins; Cheshunt FC: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 113 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Aveley FC
1.40
Expected goals, Cheshunt FC
0.86
Most likely score
1-0 (15%)
Three or more goals
39%
Both clubs score
43%
Aveley FC score at least once
75%
Cheshunt FC score at least once
58%
Season sample
11 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Aveley FC win–
Draw–
Cheshunt FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Aveley FC goals, columns are Cheshunt FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
010%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
115%13%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
210%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
35%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.88 goals) and away average (1.47 goals).

Sample. Aveley FC 11 matches, Cheshunt FC 11, the league 113, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 23 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 113 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.585.2%14.8%
2.568.7%31.3%
3.546.1%53.9%
4.528.7%71.3%

First-half goals · 113 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.580.0%20.0%
1.544.3%55.7%
2.523.5%76.5%
3.58.7%91.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Aveley FC wins
0
Draws
1
Cheshunt FC wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Aveley FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Cheshunt FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Cheshunt FC v Aveley FCTue, 6 Oct 2026 · Isthmian Football League, Premier Division 2026-272–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Aveley FC at homeDWLDLL
Cheshunt FC awayDLDLLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Aveley FC at home, Cheshunt FC away
  • 57%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 96%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 86%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 55%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 69%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 38%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 46%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 20%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 28%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 3.2
    Avg total goals
    League 3.35
    5 + 6 matches
  • 65%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 81%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 28%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 44%
    5 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Aveley FC at home, Cheshunt FC away
Aveley FC (home)Cheshunt FC (away)
15Position12
DWLDLLast 5, oldest to newestLDLLW
5Played6
1.00Points per match0.83
20%Win %17%
1.80Scored / match0.67
2.20Conceded / match1.67
4.00Avg total goals2.33
80%Both scored33%
0%Clean sheets17%
20%Failed to score67%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Aveley FCCheshunt FC
  • 0.601st half scored / match0.17
  • 1.001st half conceded / match0.50
  • 1.202nd half scored / match0.50
  • 1.202nd half conceded / match1.17
  • 20%Leading at half-time17%
  • 80%1st half over 0.550%
  • 40%1st half over 1.517%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 80%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 40%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Aveley FC at home, Cheshunt FC away, this season.

Goals

Aveley FCCheshunt FC
  • 1.80Scored / match0.67
  • 2.20Conceded / match1.67
  • 4.00Match total / match2.33
  • 80%Scored 1+33%
  • 60%Scored 2+33%
  • 100%Conceded 1+83%
  • 80%Conceded 2+67%
  • 100%Match over 1.583%
  • 60%Match over 2.550%
  • 60%Match over 3.517%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Isthmian Football League, Premier Division matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.