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Barracas Central Reserve v Argentinos Juniors Reserve, Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División, Thu, 12 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026. Thu, 12 Nov 2026

Barracas Central ReserveHome
vKick-off 18:00 UTC
Argentinos Juniors ReserveAway
LWLDDLeague form, oldest to newestLDWDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Barracas Central Reserve have 15 scored home results and Argentinos Juniors Reserve 15 scored away results stored in 2026. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Barracas Central Reserve at home: 1.13 points per match (15 measured matches); Argentinos Juniors Reserve away: 0.87 points per match (15 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Barracas Central Reserve scored 0.60 per home match (15 measured matches); Argentinos Juniors Reserve scored 0.80 away (15). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.22 per club appearance across 1094 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 12 of 30 pooled club appearances (40.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Barracas Central Reserve: 0 wins; Argentinos Juniors Reserve: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 547 league matches, 2026

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Barracas Central Reserve
0.60
Expected goals, Argentinos Juniors Reserve
1.04
Most likely score
0-1 (20%)
Three or more goals
23%
Both clubs score
29%
Barracas Central Reserve score at least once
45%
Argentinos Juniors Reserve score at least once
64%
Season sample
30 and 30 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Barracas Central Reserve win–
Draw–
Argentinos Juniors Reserve win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Barracas Central Reserve goals, columns are Argentinos Juniors Reserve goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
020%20%10%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
112%12%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
23%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.40 goals) and away average (1.04 goals).

Sample. Barracas Central Reserve 30 matches, Argentinos Juniors Reserve 30, the league 547, all 2026, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 9 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 547 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.569.2%30.8%
2.543.0%57.0%
3.525.0%75.0%
4.510.7%89.3%

First-half goals · 547 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.559.2%40.8%
1.525.7%74.3%
2.59.7%90.3%
3.53.3%96.7%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Barracas Central Reserve wins
0
Draws
1
Argentinos Juniors Reserve wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Barracas Central Reserve clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Argentinos Juniors Reserve clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Argentinos Juniors Reserve v Barracas Central ReserveWed, 10 Jun 2026 · Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División 20263–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Barracas Central Reserve at homeDDLLWD
Argentinos Juniors Reserve awayLDLLLD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Barracas Central Reserve at home, Argentinos Juniors Reserve away
  • 40%
    Both teams scored
    League 47%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 83%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 90%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 60%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 69%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 27%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 43%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 17%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 3%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 11%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 1.9
    Avg total goals
    League 2.43
    15 + 15 matches
  • 40%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 59%
    15 + 15 matches
  • 10%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 26%
    15 + 15 matches

Stored season context, 2026

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026

Home and awayOverall
Barracas Central Reserve at home, Argentinos Juniors Reserve away
Barracas Central Reserve (home)Argentinos Juniors Reserve (away)
35Position21
DLLWDLast 5, oldest to newestDLLLD
15Played15
1.13Points per match0.87
27%Win %13%
0.60Scored / match0.80
1.07Conceded / match1.33
1.67Avg total goals2.13
27%Both scored53%
40%Clean sheets20%
53%Failed to score40%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Barracas Central ReserveArgentinos Juniors Reserve
  • 0.201st half scored / match0.27
  • 0.131st half conceded / match0.47
  • 0.402nd half scored / match0.53
  • 0.932nd half conceded / match0.87
  • 20%Leading at half-time13%
  • 33%1st half over 0.547%
  • 0%1st half over 1.520%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.567%
  • 47%2nd half over 1.553%
  • 7%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Barracas Central Reserve at home, Argentinos Juniors Reserve away, this season.

Goals

Barracas Central ReserveArgentinos Juniors Reserve
  • 0.60Scored / match0.80
  • 1.07Conceded / match1.33
  • 1.67Match total / match2.13
  • 47%Scored 1+60%
  • 7%Scored 2+20%
  • 60%Conceded 1+80%
  • 33%Conceded 2+40%
  • 53%Match over 1.567%
  • 20%Match over 2.533%
  • 13%Match over 3.520%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.