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MatchDaySync

Bolton v Luton, EFL League One, Sat, 2 May 2026: statistics and head to head

2025-26. Sat, 2 May 2026

BoltonHome
23Full time, half-time 2–1
LutonAway

Luton won by 1 goal.

LWDDLLeague form, oldest to newestWDWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Toughsheet Community Stadium. Photo: Mark Hammond from London, England, CC BY 2.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Bolton have 22 scored home results and Luton 22 scored away results stored in 2025-26. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Bolton at home: 2.14 points per match (22 measured matches); Luton away: 1.18 points per match (22 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Bolton scored 2.00 per home match (22 measured matches); Luton scored 1.27 away (22). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.30 per club appearance across 1080 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 24 of 44 pooled club appearances (54.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Bolton: 0 wins; Luton: 0 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half21
Second half02

The match in numbers

BoltonLuton
  • 24Shots12
  • 12Shots on target5
  • 5Corners3
  • 17Fouls17
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Bolton

  • Shots24
  • On target12
  • Goals2

50% of shots on target, 17% of those scored.

Luton

  • Shots12
  • On target5
  • Goals3

42% of shots on target, 60% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Bolton wins
1
Draws
0
Luton wins
Goals / meeting
2.00
2 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Bolton clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Luton clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
15.00
1 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
3.00
1 with card data · small sample
  1. Luton v BoltonSat, 29 Nov 2025 · EFL League One 2025-261–1HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Bolton at homeLWLLWL
Luton awayWLLLDW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Bolton at home, Luton away
  • 57%
    Both teams scored
    League 53%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 94%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 94%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 78%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 59%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 51%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 35%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 28%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 20%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.9
    Avg total goals
    League 2.63
    23 + 23 matches
  • 67%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 70%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 37%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 31%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 10.3
    Corners per match
    League 10.06
    23 + 23 matches
  • 65%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 64%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 59%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 53%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 43%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 42%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 4.2
    Cards per match
    League 3.78
    23 + 23 matches
  • 70%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 55%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 39%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 33%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2025-26

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2025-26

Home and awayOverall
Bolton at home, Luton away
Bolton (home)Luton (away)
5Position7
DDWDLLast 5, oldest to newestWWDWW
23Played23
2.04Points per match1.26
57%Win %35%
2.00Scored / match1.35
1.04Conceded / match1.39
3.04Avg total goals2.74
65%Both scored48%
30%Clean sheets26%
17%Failed to score26%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

BoltonLuton
  • 0.831st half scored / match0.61
  • 0.351st half conceded / match0.70
  • 1.172nd half scored / match0.74
  • 0.702nd half conceded / match0.70
  • 43%Leading at half-time26%
  • 65%1st half over 0.570%
  • 35%1st half over 1.539%
  • 78%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 65%2nd half over 1.544%
  • 35%Scored in both halves22%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Bolton at home, Luton away, this season.

Goals

BoltonLuton
  • 2.00Scored / match1.35
  • 1.04Conceded / match1.39
  • 3.04Match total / match2.74
  • 83%Scored 1+74%
  • 70%Scored 2+44%
  • 70%Conceded 1+74%
  • 26%Conceded 2+39%
  • 78%Match over 1.578%
  • 65%Match over 2.552%
  • 39%Match over 3.530%

Shots and xG

BoltonLuton
  • 19.26Shots for11.35
  • 8.96Shots against12.13
  • 5.91On target for3.39
  • 2.70On target against4.61
  • 10%Shot conversion12%

Corners

BoltonLuton
  • 7.83Corners for5.13
  • 3.43Corners against4.17
  • 11.26Match total9.30
  • 91%Over 7.574%
  • 74%Over 8.557%
  • 70%Over 9.548%
  • 48%Over 10.539%
  • 35%Over 11.517%

Cards

BoltonLuton
  • 1.78Cards for1.96
  • 2.61Cards against2.13
  • 4.39Match total4.09
  • 83%Over 2.591%
  • 70%Over 3.570%
  • 48%Over 4.530%
  • 26%Over 5.517%
  • 9.96Fouls committed12.00
Referee this season
M Corlett
Matches
19
Cards / match
5.16
19 matches
Over 3.5 cards
90%
19 matches
Over 4.5 cards
63%
19 matches
Fouls / match
25.68
19 matches

The table, 2025-26

#ClubPGDPts
3Stockport461377
4Bradford46777
5Bolton461875
6Stevenage46375
7Luton461274
8Plymouth461273
9Huddersfield461067
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League One matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.