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Brabrand v Middelfart, CampoBet 2 Division, Sat, 6 Mar 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 17. Sat, 6 Mar 2027

BrabrandHome
vKick-off 13:00 UTC
MiddelfartAway
DLDWWLeague form, oldest to newestDDDWL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Brabrand have 6 scored home results and Middelfart 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Brabrand at home: 1.00 points per match (6 measured matches); Middelfart away: 1.20 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Brabrand scored 0.83 per home match (6 measured matches); Middelfart scored 1.20 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.38 per club appearance across 128 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 8 of 11 pooled club appearances (72.7%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Brabrand: 0 wins; Middelfart: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 64 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Brabrand
1.11
Expected goals, Middelfart
1.64
Most likely score
1-1 (12%)
Three or more goals
52%
Both clubs score
54%
Brabrand score at least once
67%
Middelfart score at least once
81%
Season sample
11 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Brabrand win–
Draw–
Middelfart win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Brabrand goals, columns are Middelfart goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
06%10%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
17%12%10%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
24%6%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.48 goals) and away average (1.27 goals).

Sample. Brabrand 11 matches, Middelfart 10, the league 64, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 64 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.583.3%16.7%
2.553.0%47.0%
3.531.8%68.2%
4.57.6%92.4%

First-half goals · 64 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.574.2%25.8%
1.539.4%60.6%
2.510.6%89.4%
3.51.5%98.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Brabrand wins
0
Draws
1
Middelfart wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
4 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Brabrand clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Middelfart clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Middelfart v BrabrandFri, 7 Aug 2026 · CampoBet 2 Division 2026-274–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Brabrand at homeLDDWDW
Middelfart awayWWDDDL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Brabrand at home, Middelfart away
  • 73%
    Both teams scored
    League 62%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 73%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 84%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 38%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 28%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 31%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 6%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 2.3
    Avg total goals
    League 2.75
    6 + 5 matches
  • 80%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 75%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 55%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 39%
    6 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Brabrand at home, Middelfart away
Brabrand (home)Middelfart (away)
9Position6
LDDDWLast 5, oldest to newestDWDDL
6Played5
1.00Points per match1.20
17%Win %20%
0.83Scored / match1.20
1.17Conceded / match1.40
2.00Avg total goals2.60
67%Both scored80%
17%Clean sheets20%
17%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

BrabrandMiddelfart
  • 0.831st half scored / match0.60
  • 0.671st half conceded / match0.80
  • 0.002nd half scored / match0.60
  • 0.502nd half conceded / match0.60
  • 33%Leading at half-time20%
  • 100%1st half over 0.560%
  • 50%1st half over 1.560%
  • 33%2nd half over 0.540%
  • 17%2nd half over 1.540%
  • 0%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Brabrand at home, Middelfart away, this season.

Goals

BrabrandMiddelfart
  • 0.83Scored / match1.20
  • 1.17Conceded / match1.40
  • 2.00Match total / match2.60
  • 83%Scored 1+80%
  • 0%Scored 2+40%
  • 83%Conceded 1+80%
  • 17%Conceded 2+40%
  • 67%Match over 1.580%
  • 17%Match over 2.560%
  • 17%Match over 3.540%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
4Boldklubben af 189311518
5Næstved Boldklub11216
6Middelfart10314
7Skive11-214
8Fremad Amager11-314
9Brabrand11-512
10HIK11-109
11FA 200011-126
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for CampoBet 2 Division matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.