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Brickfield Rangers v Holyhead Hotspur FC, Cymru North, Sat, 17 Apr 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 30. Sat, 17 Apr 2027

Brickfield RangersHome
vKick-off 11:30 UTC
Holyhead Hotspur FCAway
WWWWLLeague form, oldest to newestLLLWD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Brickfield Rangers have 6 scored home results and Holyhead Hotspur FC 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Brickfield Rangers at home: 2.50 points per match (6 measured matches); Holyhead Hotspur FC away: 1.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Brickfield Rangers scored 2.17 per home match (6 measured matches); Holyhead Hotspur FC scored 1.50 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.67 per club appearance across 172 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 10 pooled club appearances (30.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Brickfield Rangers: 1 wins; Holyhead Hotspur FC: 0 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 86 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Brickfield Rangers
2.74
Expected goals, Holyhead Hotspur FC
0.64
Most likely score
2-0 (13%)
Three or more goals
65%
Both clubs score
44%
Brickfield Rangers score at least once
93%
Holyhead Hotspur FC score at least once
47%
Season sample
11 and 10 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Brickfield Rangers win–
Draw–
Holyhead Hotspur FC win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Brickfield Rangers goals, columns are Holyhead Hotspur FC goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
03%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
19%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
213%8%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
312%8%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
48%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
54%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
62%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
71%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.70 goals) and away average (1.64 goals).

Sample. Brickfield Rangers 11 matches, Holyhead Hotspur FC 10, the league 86, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 9 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 86 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.581.8%18.2%
2.562.5%37.5%
3.546.6%53.4%
4.526.1%73.9%

First-half goals · 86 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.569.3%30.7%
1.537.5%62.5%
2.514.8%85.2%
3.58.0%92.0%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Brickfield Rangers wins
0
Draws
0
Holyhead Hotspur FC wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Brickfield Rangers clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Holyhead Hotspur FC clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Holyhead Hotspur FC v Brickfield RangersSat, 8 Aug 2026 · Cymru North 2026-271–2HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Brickfield Rangers at homeWWWWWL
Holyhead Hotspur FC awayWLLW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Brickfield Rangers at home, Holyhead Hotspur FC away
  • 33%
    Both teams scored
    League 56%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 98%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 83%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 54%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 63%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 42%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 47%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 21%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 26%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 3.3
    Avg total goals
    League 3.34
    6 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 70%
    6 + 4 matches
  • 42%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 37%
    6 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Brickfield Rangers at home, Holyhead Hotspur FC away
Brickfield Rangers (home)Holyhead Hotspur FC (away)
1Position14
WWWWLLast 5, oldest to newestWLLW
6Played4
2.50Points per match1.50
83%Win %50%
2.17Scored / match1.50
0.83Conceded / match2.00
3.00Avg total goals3.50
17%Both scored50%
67%Clean sheets0%
17%Failed to score50%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Brickfield RangersHolyhead Hotspur FC
  • 1.171st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.171st half conceded / match1.50
  • 1.002nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.672nd half conceded / match0.50
  • 83%Leading at half-time25%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 33%1st half over 1.550%
  • 83%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 67%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Brickfield Rangers at home, Holyhead Hotspur FC away, this season.

Goals

Brickfield RangersHolyhead Hotspur FC
  • 2.17Scored / match1.50
  • 0.83Conceded / match2.00
  • 3.00Match total / match3.50
  • 83%Scored 1+50%
  • 83%Scored 2+50%
  • 33%Conceded 1+100%
  • 17%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.575%
  • 33%Match over 2.575%
  • 33%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Cymru North matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.