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Brinje Grosuplje v NK Olimpija Ljubljana, PrvaLiga, Sat, 28 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 17. Sat, 28 Nov 2026

Brinje GrosupljeHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
NK Olimpija LjubljanaAway
LWLLWLeague form, oldest to newestDWWLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Brinje Grosuplje have 5 scored home results and NK Olimpija Ljubljana 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Brinje Grosuplje at home: 1.40 points per match (5 measured matches); NK Olimpija Ljubljana away: 0.80 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Brinje Grosuplje scored 1.80 per home match (5 measured matches); NK Olimpija Ljubljana scored 0.80 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.37 per club appearance across 104 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 10 pooled club appearances (70.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 1. Brinje Grosuplje: 0 wins; NK Olimpija Ljubljana: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 52 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Brinje Grosuplje
1.01
Expected goals, NK Olimpija Ljubljana
1.58
Most likely score
1-1 (12%)
Three or more goals
48%
Both clubs score
51%
Brinje Grosuplje score at least once
64%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana score at least once
79%
Season sample
10 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Brinje Grosuplje win–
Draw–
NK Olimpija Ljubljana win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Brinje Grosuplje goals, columns are NK Olimpija Ljubljana goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
07%12%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
18%12%9%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
24%6%5%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
31%2%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.35 goals) and away average (1.38 goals).

Sample. Brinje Grosuplje 10 matches, NK Olimpija Ljubljana 11, the league 52, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 52 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.1%25.9%
2.550.0%50.0%
3.531.5%68.5%
4.514.8%85.2%

First-half goals · 52 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.572.2%27.8%
1.524.1%75.9%
2.514.8%85.2%
3.55.6%94.4%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

1 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Brinje Grosuplje wins
0
Draws
1
NK Olimpija Ljubljana wins
Goals / meeting
3.00
3 goals in 1 meeting · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 1.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 2.5
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
Brinje Grosuplje clean sheets
0%
0 of 1 meeting · small sample
NK Olimpija Ljubljana clean sheets
100%
1 of 1 meeting · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. NK Olimpija Ljubljana v Brinje GrosupljeSat, 5 Sept 2026 · PrvaLiga 2026-273–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Brinje Grosuplje at homeDLWWLW
NK Olimpija Ljubljana awayLLLDWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Brinje Grosuplje at home, NK Olimpija Ljubljana away
  • 70%
    Both teams scored
    League 54%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 90%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 70%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 50%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 20%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 31%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 10%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 13%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 2.5
    Avg total goals
    League 2.73
    5 + 5 matches
  • 60%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 73%
    5 + 5 matches
  • 20%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 23%
    5 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Brinje Grosuplje at home, NK Olimpija Ljubljana away
Brinje Grosuplje (home)NK Olimpija Ljubljana (away)
8Position4
DLWLWLast 5, oldest to newestLLDWL
5Played5
1.40Points per match0.80
40%Win %20%
1.80Scored / match0.80
1.40Conceded / match1.00
3.20Avg total goals1.80
100%Both scored40%
0%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score60%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

Brinje GrosupljeNK Olimpija Ljubljana
  • 0.401st half scored / match0.20
  • 0.601st half conceded / match0.40
  • 1.402nd half scored / match0.60
  • 0.802nd half conceded / match0.60
  • 20%Leading at half-time0%
  • 80%1st half over 0.540%
  • 20%1st half over 1.520%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.560%
  • 80%2nd half over 1.520%
  • 20%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Brinje Grosuplje at home, NK Olimpija Ljubljana away, this season.

Goals

Brinje GrosupljeNK Olimpija Ljubljana
  • 1.80Scored / match0.80
  • 1.40Conceded / match1.00
  • 3.20Match total / match1.80
  • 100%Scored 1+40%
  • 40%Scored 2+20%
  • 100%Conceded 1+80%
  • 40%Conceded 2+20%
  • 100%Match over 1.540%
  • 80%Match over 2.540%
  • 20%Match over 3.520%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for PrvaLiga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.