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Burton v Derby, EFL League One, Sat, 10 Dec 2022: statistics and head to head

2022-23. Sat, 10 Dec 2022

BurtonHome
11Full time, half-time 0–1
DerbyAway

Draw. Goal margin: 0.

LWLWDLeague form, oldest to newestDWWDL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Burton have 10 scored home results and Derby 10 scored away results stored in 2022-23. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Burton at home: 0.90 points per match (10 measured matches); Derby away: 1.30 points per match (10 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Burton scored 1.00 per home match (10 measured matches); Derby scored 0.90 away (10). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.29 per club appearance across 476 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 6 of 20 pooled club appearances (30.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Burton: 1 wins; Derby: 1 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half01
Second half10

The match in numbers

BurtonDerby
  • 11Shots14
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 10Corners3
  • 11Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Burton

  • Shots11
  • On target4
  • Goals1

36% of shots on target, 25% of those scored.

Derby

  • Shots14
  • On target4
  • Goals1

29% of shots on target, 25% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
Burton wins
0
Draws
1
Derby wins
Goals / meeting
2.50
5 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Burton clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Derby clean sheets
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
8.00
2 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
3.00
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Burton v DerbySat, 14 Apr 2018 · EFL Championship 2017-183–1HT 2–1
  2. Derby v BurtonSat, 2 Dec 2017 · EFL Championship 2017-181–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Burton at home, Derby away
  • 46%
    Both teams scored
    League 47%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 87%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 70%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 41%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 47%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 26%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 25%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.5
    Avg total goals
    League 2.56
    23 + 23 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 72%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 26%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 33%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 11.3
    Corners per match
    League 10.19
    23 + 23 matches
  • 74%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 70%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 65%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 58%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 63%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 46%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 3.1
    Cards per match
    League 3.72
    23 + 23 matches
  • 35%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 53%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 20%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 32%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2022-23

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2022-23

Burton at home, Derby away
Burton (home)Derby (away)
15Position7
WWDWDLast 5, oldest to newestLWDWL
23Played23
1.48Points per match1.35
39%Win %35%
1.22Scored / match1.17
1.43Conceded / match1.13
2.65Avg total goals2.30
44%Both scored48%
30%Clean sheets30%
35%Failed to score39%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

BurtonDerby
  • 0.701st half scored / match0.57
  • 0.651st half conceded / match0.43
  • 0.522nd half scored / match0.61
  • 0.782nd half conceded / match0.70
  • 35%Leading at half-time35%
  • 65%1st half over 0.561%
  • 30%1st half over 1.522%
  • 74%2nd half over 0.578%
  • 35%2nd half over 1.535%
  • 22%Scored in both halves26%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Burton at home, Derby away, this season.

Goals

BurtonDerby
  • 1.22Scored / match1.17
  • 1.43Conceded / match1.13
  • 2.65Match total / match2.30
  • 65%Scored 1+61%
  • 39%Scored 2+39%
  • 70%Conceded 1+70%
  • 39%Conceded 2+30%
  • 70%Match over 1.570%
  • 44%Match over 2.539%
  • 30%Match over 3.522%

Shots and xG

BurtonDerby
  • 11.74Shots for13.04
  • 13.96Shots against11.22
  • 4.04On target for4.87
  • 4.13On target against3.87
  • 10%Shot conversion9%

Corners

BurtonDerby
  • 5.74Corners for5.65
  • 6.09Corners against5.13
  • 11.83Match total10.78
  • 96%Over 7.578%
  • 83%Over 8.565%
  • 70%Over 9.561%
  • 70%Over 10.557%
  • 57%Over 11.544%

Cards

BurtonDerby
  • 1.35Cards for1.78
  • 1.39Cards against1.74
  • 2.74Match total3.52
  • 52%Over 2.570%
  • 22%Over 3.548%
  • 13%Over 4.526%
  • 4%Over 5.517%
  • 9.96Fouls committed10.04
Referee this season
G Eltringham
Matches
7
Cards / match
3.71
7 matches
Over 3.5 cards
57%
7 matches
Over 4.5 cards
29%
7 matches
Fouls / match
20.71
7 matches

The table, 2022-23

#ClubPGDPts
5Bolton462681
6Peterboro462177
7Derby462176
8Portsmouth461170
9Wycombe46869
13Fleetwood Town46258
14Exeter46-456
15Burton46-2256
16Cheltenham46-1654
17Bristol Rvs46-1553
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League One matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.