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Carlisle v Milton Keynes Dons, EFL League Two, Tue, 25 Mar 2025: statistics and head to head

2024-25. Tue, 25 Mar 2025

CarlisleHome
22Full time, half-time 2–2

Draw. Goal margin: 0.

WWDLDLeague form, oldest to newestLDWDD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Carlisle have 19 scored home results and Milton Keynes Dons 18 scored away results stored in 2024-25. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Carlisle at home: 0.79 points per match (19 measured matches); Milton Keynes Dons away: 0.94 points per match (18 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Carlisle scored 0.79 per home match (19 measured matches); Milton Keynes Dons scored 1.33 away (18). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.22 per club appearance across 906 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 21 of 37 pooled club appearances (56.8%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. Carlisle: 0 wins; Milton Keynes Dons: 3 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

How the goals came

No timeline: goal minutes, cards and substitutions are not stored for this match. The goals are shown by half instead.

First half22
Second half00

The match in numbers

CarlisleMilton Keynes Dons
  • 11Shots8
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 7Corners2
  • 12Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

From shots to goals

Carlisle

  • Shots11
  • On target3
  • Goals2

27% of shots on target, 67% of those scored.

Milton Keynes Dons

  • Shots8
  • On target4
  • Goals2

50% of shots on target, 50% of those scored.

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prediction

Prototype model, not yet validated

No prediction is shown for a finished match. The model keeps no figure from before kick-off, so showing one now would be written with the result already known.

How the model works

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Carlisle wins
0
Draws
3
Milton Keynes Dons wins
Goals / meeting
3.33
10 goals in 3 meetings
Both scored
33%
1 of 3 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 2.5
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Over 3.5
33%
1 of 3 meetings
Carlisle clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheets
67%
2 of 3 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.33
3 with corner data
Cards / meeting
3.00
3 with card data
  1. Milton Keynes Dons v CarlisleSat, 24 Aug 2024 · EFL League Two 2024-253–0HT 2–0
  2. Carlisle v Milton Keynes DonsSat, 16 Feb 2019 · EFL League Two 2018-192–3HT 1–1
  3. Milton Keynes Dons v CarlisleSat, 8 Dec 2018 · EFL League Two 2018-192–0HT 0–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Carlisle at home, Milton Keynes Dons away
  • 57%
    Both teams scored
    League 49%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 91%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 91%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 74%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 70%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 52%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 46%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 28%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 24%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 17%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 11%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.49
    23 + 23 matches
  • 80%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 66%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 43%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 30%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 9.0
    Corners per match
    League 9.67
    23 + 23 matches
  • 63%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 61%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 37%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 50%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 24%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 38%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 4.0
    Cards per match
    League 4.11
    23 + 23 matches
  • 52%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 59%
    23 + 23 matches
  • 35%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 40%
    23 + 23 matches

Stored season context, 2024-25

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2024-25

Carlisle at home, Milton Keynes Dons away
Carlisle (home)Milton Keynes Dons (away)
23Position19
WDWWDLast 5, oldest to newestDLLWD
23Played23
1.00Points per match0.96
22%Win %26%
1.09Scored / match1.17
1.52Conceded / match1.78
2.61Avg total goals2.96
61%Both scored52%
17%Clean sheets13%
35%Failed to score39%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

CarlisleMilton Keynes Dons
  • 0.741st half scored / match0.70
  • 0.831st half conceded / match0.83
  • 0.352nd half scored / match0.48
  • 0.702nd half conceded / match0.96
  • 26%Leading at half-time26%
  • 78%1st half over 0.583%
  • 48%1st half over 1.539%
  • 57%2nd half over 0.570%
  • 30%2nd half over 1.544%
  • 22%Scored in both halves17%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Carlisle at home, Milton Keynes Dons away, this season.

Goals

CarlisleMilton Keynes Dons
  • 1.09Scored / match1.17
  • 1.52Conceded / match1.78
  • 2.61Match total / match2.96
  • 65%Scored 1+61%
  • 35%Scored 2+30%
  • 83%Conceded 1+87%
  • 48%Conceded 2+52%
  • 70%Match over 1.578%
  • 48%Match over 2.557%
  • 30%Match over 3.526%

Shots and xG

CarlisleMilton Keynes Dons
  • 12.39Shots for9.17
  • 11.13Shots against13.57
  • 3.96On target for3.35
  • 4.39On target against5.09
  • 9%Shot conversion13%

Corners

CarlisleMilton Keynes Dons
  • 5.74Corners for3.48
  • 4.35Corners against4.35
  • 10.09Match total7.83
  • 83%Over 7.557%
  • 78%Over 8.548%
  • 44%Over 9.530%
  • 30%Over 10.517%
  • 30%Over 11.54%

Cards

CarlisleMilton Keynes Dons
  • 2.65Cards for2.04
  • 1.87Cards against1.35
  • 4.52Match total3.39
  • 83%Over 2.570%
  • 61%Over 3.544%
  • 39%Over 4.530%
  • 30%Over 5.517%
  • 10.65Fouls committed12.61
Referee this season
B Speedie
Matches
13
Cards / match
2.69
13 matches
Over 3.5 cards
31%
13 matches
Over 4.5 cards
15%
13 matches
Fouls / match
22.46
13 matches

The table, 2024-25

#ClubPGDPts
17Gillingham46-558
18Harrogate46-1853
19Milton Keynes Dons46-1452
20Tranmere46-2051
21Accrington46-1650
22Newport County46-2449
23Carlisle46-2742
24Morecambe46-3236
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for EFL League Two matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.