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Castellon v Eibar, La Liga 2, Sun, 8 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 13. Sun, 8 Nov 2026

CastellonHome
vKick-off 19:00 UTC
EibarAway
WWWWDLeague form, oldest to newestWWWWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Nou Estadi Castalia. Photo: Basavisaldo, Public domain, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Castellon have 4 scored home results and Eibar 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Castellon at home: 2.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Eibar away: 3.00 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Castellon scored 2.00 per home match (4 measured matches); Eibar scored 2.50 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 182 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 8 pooled club appearances (37.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 4. Castellon: 2 wins; Eibar: 1 wins; draws: 1.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Castellon at home and Eibar away.

Castellon at home

xG 1.97
  • Shots per match13.3
  • On target per match3.8
  • Goals per match2.0

Eibar away

xG 0.99
  • Shots per match8.0
  • On target per match4.5
  • Goals per match2.5

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 91 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Castellon
1.39
Expected goals, Eibar
0.56
Most likely score
1-0 (20%)
Three or more goals
31%
Both clubs score
32%
Castellon score at least once
75%
Eibar score at least once
43%
Season sample
8 and 8 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Castellon win–
Draw–
Eibar win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Castellon goals, columns are Eibar goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
014%8%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
120%11%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
214%8%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
36%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.48 goals) and away average (1.16 goals).

Sample. Castellon 8 matches, Eibar 8, the league 91, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 10 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 91 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.572.0%28.0%
2.549.5%50.5%
3.532.3%67.7%
4.517.2%82.8%

First-half goals · 91 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.569.9%30.1%
1.533.3%66.7%
2.516.1%83.9%
3.54.3%95.7%

Corners · 88 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.548.9%51.1%
9.537.8%62.2%
10.525.6%74.4%

Yellow + red card events · 88 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.598.9%1.1%
1.595.6%4.4%
2.586.7%13.3%
3.581.1%18.9%
4.560.0%40.0%
5.542.2%57.8%
6.530.0%70.0%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

4 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
Castellon wins
1
Draws
1
Eibar wins
Goals / meeting
1.50
6 goals in 4 meetings
Both scored
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Over 1.5
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Over 2.5
25%
1 of 4 meetings
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 4 meetings
Castellon clean sheets
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Eibar clean sheets
50%
2 of 4 meetings
Corners / meeting
8.25
4 with corner data
Cards / meeting
4.00
4 with card data
  1. Castellon v EibarSun, 31 May 2026 · La Liga 2 2025-262–1HT 1–0
  2. Eibar v CastellonSun, 12 Oct 2025 · La Liga 2 2025-260–0HT 0–0
  3. Castellon v EibarSat, 15 Feb 2025 · La Liga 2 2024-252–0HT 1–0
  4. Eibar v CastellonSat, 17 Aug 2024 · La Liga 2 2024-251–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Castellon at homeDWDWWD
Eibar awayLLWWWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Castellon at home, Eibar away
  • 38%
    Both teams scored
    League 51%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 90%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 73%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 32%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 2.6
    Avg total goals
    League 2.65
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 70%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 33%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 8.0
    Corners per match
    League 8.83
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 38%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 25%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 4.1
    Cards per match
    League 5.30
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 82%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 60%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Castellon at home, Eibar away
Castellon (home)Eibar (away)
2Position1
DWWDLast 5, oldest to newestWWWW
4Played4
2.00Points per match3.00
50%Win %100%
2.00Scored / match2.50
0.25Conceded / match0.50
2.25Avg total goals3.00
25%Both scored50%
75%Clean sheets50%
25%Failed to score0%
1.97xG for0.99
1.06xG against1.17

Half by half

CastellonEibar
  • 1.001st half scored / match1.25
  • 0.001st half conceded / match0.25
  • 1.002nd half scored / match1.25
  • 0.252nd half conceded / match0.25
  • 50%Leading at half-time50%
  • 50%1st half over 0.575%
  • 25%1st half over 1.525%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.575%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 25%Scored in both halves25%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Castellon at home, Eibar away, this season.

Goals

CastellonEibar
  • 2.00Scored / match2.50
  • 0.25Conceded / match0.50
  • 2.25Match total / match3.00
  • 75%Scored 1+100%
  • 50%Scored 2+75%
  • 25%Conceded 1+50%
  • 0%Conceded 2+0%
  • 75%Match over 1.575%
  • 25%Match over 2.575%
  • 25%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

CastellonEibar
  • 13.25Shots for8.00
  • 10.50Shots against24.50
  • 3.75On target for4.50
  • 2.75On target against6.50
  • 15%Shot conversion31%
  • 1.97xG for0.99
  • 1.06xG against1.17

Corners

CastellonEibar
  • 3.75Corners for1.25
  • 4.50Corners against6.50
  • 8.25Match total7.75
  • 75%Over 7.550%
  • 50%Over 8.525%
  • 50%Over 9.525%
  • 0%Over 10.525%
  • 0%Over 11.50%

Cards

CastellonEibar
  • 1.00Cards for2.50
  • 2.75Cards against2.00
  • 3.75Match total4.50
  • 50%Over 2.575%
  • 50%Over 3.550%
  • 25%Over 4.550%
  • 25%Over 5.550%
  • 10.00Fouls committed10.75

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Eibar81121
2Castellon81220
3Almeria8818
4Sabadell9316
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for La Liga 2 matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.