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CD FAS v Inter FA, Primera División, Apertura, Thu, 12 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 20. Thu, 12 Nov 2026

CD FASHome
vKick-off 01:00 UTC
Inter FAAway
DWWDWLeague form, oldest to newestDDDLD

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, CD FAS have 5 scored home results and Inter FA 6 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: CD FAS at home: 2.20 points per match (5 measured matches); Inter FA away: 1.67 points per match (6 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. CD FAS scored 2.00 per home match (5 measured matches); Inter FA scored 1.50 away (6). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.35 per club appearance across 166 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 7 of 11 pooled club appearances (63.6%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 3. CD FAS: 1 wins; Inter FA: 0 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 83 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, CD FAS
1.44
Expected goals, Inter FA
0.98
Most likely score
1-0 (13%)
Three or more goals
43%
Both clubs score
48%
CD FAS score at least once
76%
Inter FA score at least once
62%
Season sample
12 and 13 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

CD FAS win–
Draw–
Inter FA win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are CD FAS goals, columns are Inter FA goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
113%13%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
29%9%4%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
34%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
42%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.48 goals) and away average (1.22 goals).

Sample. CD FAS 12 matches, Inter FA 13, the league 83, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.578.8%21.2%
2.551.8%48.2%
3.534.1%65.9%
4.512.9%87.1%

First-half goals · 83 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.562.4%37.6%
1.529.4%70.6%
2.512.9%87.1%
3.53.5%96.5%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

3 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

1
CD FAS wins
2
Draws
0
Inter FA wins
Goals / meeting
4.00
12 goals in 3 meetings
Both scored
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 2.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
Over 3.5
100%
3 of 3 meetings
CD FAS clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Inter FA clean sheets
0%
0 of 3 meetings
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
–
0 with card data · small sample
  1. Inter FA v CD FASThu, 17 Sept 2026 · Primera División, Apertura 2026-272–2HT 1–2
  2. Inter FA v CD FASThu, 16 Apr 2026 · Primera División, Clausura 20262–2HT 2–1
  3. CD FAS v Inter FAThu, 19 Feb 2026 · Primera División, Clausura 20263–1HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

CD FAS at home, Inter FA away
  • 67%
    Both teams scored
    League 57%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 89%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 92%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 80%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 63%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 52%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 28%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 34%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.70
    5 + 6 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 63%
    5 + 6 matches
  • 38%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 29%
    5 + 6 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

CD FAS at home, Inter FA away
CD FAS (home)Inter FA (away)
3Position4
WDWDWLast 5, oldest to newestWWLWL
5Played6
2.20Points per match1.67
60%Win %50%
2.00Scored / match1.50
1.00Conceded / match1.17
3.00Avg total goals2.67
100%Both scored33%
0%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score17%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

CD FASInter FA
  • 1.401st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.601st half conceded / match0.33
  • 0.602nd half scored / match1.00
  • 0.402nd half conceded / match0.83
  • 60%Leading at half-time33%
  • 100%1st half over 0.550%
  • 60%1st half over 1.517%
  • 60%2nd half over 0.583%
  • 20%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 0%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

CD FAS at home, Inter FA away, this season.

Goals

CD FASInter FA
  • 2.00Scored / match1.50
  • 1.00Conceded / match1.17
  • 3.00Match total / match2.67
  • 100%Scored 1+83%
  • 60%Scored 2+50%
  • 100%Conceded 1+50%
  • 0%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.583%
  • 60%Match over 2.567%
  • 40%Match over 3.517%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Primera División, Apertura matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.