Skip to content
MatchDaySync

Celta v Levante, La Liga, Sun, 8 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 12. Sun, 8 Nov 2026

CeltaHome
vKick-off 19:00 UTC
LevanteAway
LDDDWLeague form, oldest to newestDWDLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Abanca Balaídos Stadium. Photo: Jsmq, CC BY 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Celta have 4 scored home results and Levante 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Celta at home: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Levante away: 0.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Celta scored 1.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Levante scored 0.25 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.50 per club appearance across 146 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 3 of 8 pooled club appearances (37.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Celta: 4 wins; Levante: 4 wins; draws: 2.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Celta at home and Levante away.

Celta at home

xG 1.17
  • Shots per match10.5
  • On target per match4.5
  • Goals per match1.8

Levante away

xG 0.76
  • Shots per match8.0
  • On target per match1.3
  • Goals per match0.3

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 73 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Celta
1.73
Expected goals, Levante
0.66
Most likely score
1-0 (16%)
Three or more goals
43%
Both clubs score
40%
Celta score at least once
82%
Levante score at least once
48%
Season sample
7 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Celta win–
Draw–
Levante win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Celta goals, columns are Levante goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
09%6%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
116%10%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
214%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
38%5%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.70 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. Celta 7 matches, Levante 6, the league 73, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 73 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.576.0%24.0%
2.556.0%44.0%
3.537.3%62.7%
4.522.7%77.3%

First-half goals · 73 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.7%33.3%
1.546.7%53.3%
2.517.3%82.7%
3.56.7%93.3%

Corners · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.550.7%49.3%
9.549.3%50.7%
10.539.4%60.6%

Yellow + red card events · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.595.8%4.2%
1.587.3%12.7%
2.576.1%23.9%
3.562.0%38.0%
4.547.9%52.1%
5.533.8%66.2%
6.514.1%85.9%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

4
Celta wins
2
Draws
4
Levante wins
Goals / meeting
3.30
33 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
80%
8 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
100%
10 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
40%
4 of 10 meetings
Celta clean sheets
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Levante clean sheets
0%
0 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
9.30
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
5.10
10 with card data
  1. Celta v LevanteTue, 12 May 2026 · La Liga 2025-262–3HT 1–1
  2. Levante v CeltaSun, 2 Nov 2025 · La Liga 2025-261–2HT 0–1
  3. Celta v LevanteMon, 21 Feb 2022 · La Liga 2021-221–1HT 0–0
  4. Levante v CeltaTue, 21 Sept 2021 · La Liga 2021-220–2HT 0–0
  5. Celta v LevanteFri, 30 Apr 2021 · La Liga 2020-212–0HT 0–0
  6. Levante v CeltaMon, 26 Oct 2020 · La Liga 2020-211–1HT 0–0
  7. Celta v LevanteThu, 16 Jul 2020 · La Liga 2019-202–3HT 2–2
  8. Levante v CeltaSun, 22 Dec 2019 · La Liga 2019-203–1HT 0–1
  9. Celta v LevanteSat, 16 Feb 2019 · La Liga 2018-191–4HT 0–2
  10. Levante v CeltaMon, 27 Aug 2018 · La Liga 2018-191–2HT 0–2

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Celta at homeLLDDWW
Levante awayLLDDWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Celta at home, Levante away
  • 38%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 77%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 56%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 13%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 22%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 2.4
    Avg total goals
    League 3.00
    4 + 4 matches
  • 75%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 47%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 7.9
    Corners per match
    League 9.65
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 51%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 38%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 39%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.5
    Cards per match
    League 4.29
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 62%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 25%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 48%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Celta at home, Levante away
Celta (home)Levante (away)
15Position17
LLDWLast 5, oldest to newestLDDL
4Played4
1.00Points per match0.50
25%Win %0%
1.75Scored / match0.25
1.25Conceded / match1.50
3.00Avg total goals1.75
50%Both scored25%
25%Clean sheets50%
25%Failed to score75%
1.17xG for0.76
1.59xG against2.02

Half by half

CeltaLevante
  • 1.001st half scored / match0.25
  • 0.501st half conceded / match0.75
  • 0.752nd half scored / match0.00
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match0.75
  • 75%Leading at half-time0%
  • 100%1st half over 0.550%
  • 50%1st half over 1.550%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.550%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.525%
  • 25%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Celta at home, Levante away, this season.

Goals

CeltaLevante
  • 1.75Scored / match0.25
  • 1.25Conceded / match1.50
  • 3.00Match total / match1.75
  • 75%Scored 1+25%
  • 25%Scored 2+0%
  • 75%Conceded 1+50%
  • 50%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.550%
  • 50%Match over 2.550%
  • 25%Match over 3.525%

Shots and xG

CeltaLevante
  • 10.50Shots for8.00
  • 13.25Shots against14.75
  • 4.50On target for1.25
  • 4.75On target against5.75
  • 17%Shot conversion3%
  • 1.17xG for0.76
  • 1.59xG against2.02

Corners

CeltaLevante
  • 3.25Corners for2.50
  • 4.50Corners against5.50
  • 7.75Match total8.00
  • 50%Over 7.575%
  • 25%Over 8.550%
  • 25%Over 9.550%
  • 25%Over 10.525%
  • 0%Over 11.525%

Cards

CeltaLevante
  • 1.00Cards for1.00
  • 2.50Cards against2.50
  • 3.50Match total3.50
  • 50%Over 2.575%
  • 25%Over 3.525%
  • 25%Over 4.525%
  • 25%Over 5.525%
  • 9.50Fouls committed10.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
13Getafe8-68
14Osasuna7-78
15Celta727
16Santander7-107
17Levante6-45
18Elche7-65
19Malaga8-94
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for La Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.