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Celta v Sociedad, La Liga, Sun, 23 May 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Matchday 37. Sun, 23 May 2027

CeltaHome
vKick-off 19:00 UTC
SociedadAway
LDDDWLeague form, oldest to newestWDWLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Abanca Balaídos Stadium. Photo: Jsmq, CC BY 3.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Celta have 4 scored home results and Sociedad 4 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Celta at home: 1.00 points per match (4 measured matches); Sociedad away: 1.50 points per match (4 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Celta scored 1.75 per home match (4 measured matches); Sociedad scored 1.75 away (4). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.50 per club appearance across 146 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 8 pooled club appearances (62.5%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 10. Celta: 2 wins; Sociedad: 4 wins; draws: 4.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Celta at home and Sociedad away.

Celta at home

xG 1.17
  • Shots per match10.5
  • On target per match4.5
  • Goals per match1.8

Sociedad away

xG 1.29
  • Shots per match13.3
  • On target per match4.5
  • Goals per match1.8

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 73 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Celta
1.60
Expected goals, Sociedad
0.64
Most likely score
1-0 (17%)
Three or more goals
39%
Both clubs score
38%
Celta score at least once
80%
Sociedad score at least once
47%
Season sample
7 and 7 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Celta win–
Draw–
Sociedad win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Celta goals, columns are Sociedad goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
011%7%2%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
117%11%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
214%9%3%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
37%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
43%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
51%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.70 goals) and away average (1.30 goals).

Sample. Celta 7 matches, Sociedad 7, the league 73, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 5 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 73 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.576.0%24.0%
2.556.0%44.0%
3.537.3%62.7%
4.522.7%77.3%

First-half goals · 73 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.566.7%33.3%
1.546.7%53.3%
2.517.3%82.7%
3.56.7%93.3%

Corners · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.550.7%49.3%
9.549.3%50.7%
10.539.4%60.6%

Yellow + red card events · 69 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.595.8%4.2%
1.587.3%12.7%
2.576.1%23.9%
3.562.0%38.0%
4.547.9%52.1%
5.533.8%66.2%
6.514.1%85.9%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

10 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

2
Celta wins
4
Draws
4
Sociedad wins
Goals / meeting
1.80
18 goals in 10 meetings
Both scored
50%
5 of 10 meetings
Over 1.5
60%
6 of 10 meetings
Over 2.5
20%
2 of 10 meetings
Over 3.5
10%
1 of 10 meetings
Celta clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Sociedad clean sheets
30%
3 of 10 meetings
Corners / meeting
11.50
10 with corner data
Cards / meeting
6.20
10 with card data
  1. Sociedad v CeltaThu, 3 Sept 2026 · La Liga 2026-270–0HT 0–0
  2. Sociedad v CeltaSun, 25 Jan 2026 · La Liga 2025-263–1HT 1–0
  3. Celta v SociedadSun, 19 Oct 2025 · La Liga 2025-261–1HT 1–0
  4. Sociedad v CeltaTue, 13 May 2025 · La Liga 2024-250–1HT 0–1
  5. Celta v SociedadSat, 21 Dec 2024 · La Liga 2024-252–0HT 2–0
  6. Celta v SociedadSat, 20 Jan 2024 · La Liga 2023-240–1HT 0–1
  7. Sociedad v CeltaSat, 19 Aug 2023 · La Liga 2023-241–1HT 1–0
  8. Sociedad v CeltaSat, 18 Feb 2023 · La Liga 2022-231–1HT 1–0
  9. Celta v SociedadSun, 16 Oct 2022 · La Liga 2022-231–2HT 1–1
  10. Sociedad v CeltaSat, 8 Jan 2022 · La Liga 2021-221–0HT 1–0

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Celta at homeLLDDWW
Sociedad awayLWLDWW

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Celta at home, Sociedad away
  • 63%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 93%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 77%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 56%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 37%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 22%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 3.5
    Avg total goals
    League 3.00
    4 + 4 matches
  • 88%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 67%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 47%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 9.5
    Corners per match
    League 9.65
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 51%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 49%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 39%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 4.5
    Cards per match
    League 4.29
    4 + 4 matches
  • 63%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 62%
    4 + 4 matches
  • 50%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 48%
    4 + 4 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Celta at home, Sociedad away
Celta (home)Sociedad (away)
15Position8
LLDWLast 5, oldest to newestLLWW
4Played4
1.00Points per match1.50
25%Win %50%
1.75Scored / match1.75
1.25Conceded / match2.25
3.00Avg total goals4.00
50%Both scored75%
25%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score25%
1.17xG for1.29
1.59xG against2.10

Half by half

CeltaSociedad
  • 1.001st half scored / match1.00
  • 0.501st half conceded / match0.25
  • 0.752nd half scored / match0.75
  • 0.752nd half conceded / match2.00
  • 75%Leading at half-time50%
  • 100%1st half over 0.575%
  • 50%1st half over 1.550%
  • 75%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 50%2nd half over 1.575%
  • 25%Scored in both halves50%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Celta at home, Sociedad away, this season.

Goals

CeltaSociedad
  • 1.75Scored / match1.75
  • 1.25Conceded / match2.25
  • 3.00Match total / match4.00
  • 75%Scored 1+75%
  • 25%Scored 2+50%
  • 75%Conceded 1+100%
  • 50%Conceded 2+75%
  • 100%Match over 1.575%
  • 50%Match over 2.575%
  • 25%Match over 3.575%

Shots and xG

CeltaSociedad
  • 10.50Shots for13.25
  • 13.25Shots against20.00
  • 4.50On target for4.50
  • 4.75On target against8.25
  • 17%Shot conversion13%
  • 1.17xG for1.29
  • 1.59xG against2.10

Corners

CeltaSociedad
  • 3.25Corners for6.00
  • 4.50Corners against5.25
  • 7.75Match total11.25
  • 50%Over 7.5100%
  • 25%Over 8.5100%
  • 25%Over 9.575%
  • 25%Over 10.575%
  • 0%Over 11.550%

Cards

CeltaSociedad
  • 1.00Cards for2.50
  • 2.50Cards against3.00
  • 3.50Match total5.50
  • 50%Over 2.5100%
  • 25%Over 3.5100%
  • 25%Over 4.575%
  • 25%Over 5.575%
  • 9.50Fouls committed10.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
6Alaves8411
7La Coruna7210
8Sociedad7-410
9Ath Bilbao618
10Villarreal808
13Getafe8-68
14Osasuna7-78
15Celta727
16Santander7-107
17Levante6-45
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for La Liga matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.