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Cesena v Verona, Serie B, Sat, 6 Feb 2027: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 24. Sat, 6 Feb 2027

CesenaHome
vKick-off 16:00 UTC
VeronaAway
WDDDLLeague form, oldest to newestLDWLW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Photo: Matmurat01, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Cesena have 3 scored home results and Verona 2 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Cesena at home: 1.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Verona away: 0.50 points per match (2 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Cesena scored 1.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Verona scored 1.00 away (2). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 5 pooled club appearances (100.0%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Cesena at home and Verona away.

Cesena at home

xG 1.39
  • Shots per match11.7
  • On target per match3.3
  • Goals per match1.3

Verona away

xG 1.58
  • Shots per match12.5
  • On target per match3.0
  • Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Cesena
1.32
Expected goals, Verona
1.89
Most likely score
1-1 (10%)
Three or more goals
62%
Both clubs score
62%
Cesena score at least once
73%
Verona score at least once
85%
Season sample
6 and 5 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Cesena win–
Draw–
Verona win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Cesena goals, columns are Verona goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
04%8%7%5%2%1%under 1%under 1%
15%10%10%6%3%1%under 1%under 1%
24%7%6%4%2%1%under 1%under 1%
32%3%3%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
41%1%1%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.40 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Cesena 6 matches, Verona 5, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 25 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.574.6%25.4%
2.552.5%47.5%
3.527.1%72.9%
4.513.6%86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.561.0%39.0%
1.523.7%76.3%
2.510.2%89.8%
3.53.4%96.6%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
8.557.7%42.3%
9.544.2%55.8%
10.534.6%65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.596.2%3.8%
1.592.3%7.7%
2.580.8%19.2%
3.565.4%34.6%
4.542.3%57.7%
5.519.2%80.8%
6.515.4%84.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Cesena at homeDDLDDD
Verona awayLDDDWL

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Cesena at home, Verona away
  • 100%
    Both teams scored
    League 61%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 95%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 75%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 53%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 42%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 0%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 12%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 2.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.63
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 100%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 61%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 25%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 23%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 11.1
    Corners per match
    League 9.78
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 75%
    Corners over 8.5
    League 58%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Corners over 9.5
    League 44%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 58%
    Corners over 10.5
    League 34%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 4.8
    Cards per match
    League 4.20
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 83%
    Cards over 3.5
    League 66%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample
  • 83%
    Cards over 4.5
    League 42%
    3 + 2 matches, small sample

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Cesena at home, Verona away
Cesena (home)Verona (away)
10Position9
DDDLast 5, oldest to newestDL
3Played2
1.00Points per match0.50
0%Win %0%
1.33Scored / match1.00
1.33Conceded / match2.00
2.67Avg total goals3.00
100%Both scored100%
0%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score0%
1.39xG for1.58
1.02xG against1.03

Half by half

CesenaVerona
  • 0.671st half scored / match0.50
  • 0.331st half conceded / match1.00
  • 0.672nd half scored / match0.50
  • 1.002nd half conceded / match1.00
  • 67%Leading at half-time0%
  • 100%1st half over 0.5100%
  • 0%1st half over 1.550%
  • 100%2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 33%2nd half over 1.550%
  • 33%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Cesena at home, Verona away, this season.

Goals

CesenaVerona
  • 1.33Scored / match1.00
  • 1.33Conceded / match2.00
  • 2.67Match total / match3.00
  • 100%Scored 1+100%
  • 33%Scored 2+0%
  • 100%Conceded 1+100%
  • 33%Conceded 2+50%
  • 100%Match over 1.5100%
  • 33%Match over 2.550%
  • 33%Match over 3.550%

Shots and xG

CesenaVerona
  • 11.67Shots for12.50
  • 16.00Shots against10.00
  • 3.33On target for3.00
  • 6.33On target against4.00
  • 11%Shot conversion8%
  • 1.39xG for1.58
  • 1.02xG against1.03

Corners

CesenaVerona
  • 5.00Corners for7.50
  • 6.67Corners against3.00
  • 11.67Match total10.50
  • 100%Over 7.5100%
  • 100%Over 8.550%
  • 67%Over 9.550%
  • 67%Over 10.550%
  • 67%Over 11.550%

Cards

CesenaVerona
  • 2.67Cards for2.50
  • 1.00Cards against3.50
  • 3.67Match total6.00
  • 67%Over 2.5100%
  • 67%Over 3.5100%
  • 67%Over 4.5100%
  • 0%Over 5.550%
  • 12.67Fouls committed15.00

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
7Pisa6310
8Benevento6310
9Verona537
10Cesena6-17
11Padova5-17
12Arezzo6-77
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie B matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.