Cesena vs Vicenza stats and head-to-head

2026-27, Round 26. Sat, 20 Feb 2027

CesenaHome

vKick-off 16:00 UTC

VicenzaAway

WDDDLLeague form, oldest to newestLDDLL

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Photo: Matmurat01, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped and resized.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Cesena have 3 scored home results and Vicenza 3 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Cesena at home: 1.00 points per match (3 measured matches); Vicenza away: 0.33 points per match (3 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Cesena scored 1.33 per home match (3 measured matches); Vicenza scored 1.00 away (3). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.32 per club appearance across 114 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 5 of 6 pooled club appearances (83.3%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. No earlier meetings between these teams are stored.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

How each side turns shots into goals

Stored whole-season rates per match, Cesena at home and Vicenza away.

Cesena at home

xG 1.39

Shots per match11.7
On target per match3.3
Goals per match1.3

Vicenza away

xG 1.18

Shots per match13.0
On target per match3.3
Goals per match1.0

Counts only. Shot positions are not stored, so no shot map is drawn.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 57 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Cesena: 2.05
Expected goals, Vicenza: 1.10
Most likely score: 2-1 (10%)
Three or more goals: 61%
Both clubs score: 58%
Cesena score at least once: 87%
Vicenza score at least once: 67%
Season sample: 6 and 6 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Cesena win–

Draw–

Vicenza win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Cesena goals, columns are Vicenza goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.

01234567

04%5%3%1%

19%10%5%2%1%

29%10%5%2%1%

36%7%4%1%

43%3%2%1%

51%1%1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.40 goals) and away average (1.23 goals).

Sample. Cesena 6 matches, Vicenza 6, the league 57, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 26 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 57 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
1.5	74.6%	25.4%
2.5	52.5%	47.5%
3.5	27.1%	72.9%
4.5	13.6%	86.4%

First-half goals · 57 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	61.0%	39.0%
1.5	23.7%	76.3%
2.5	10.2%	89.8%
3.5	3.4%	96.6%

Corners · 50 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
8.5	57.7%	42.3%
9.5	44.2%	55.8%
10.5	34.6%	65.4%

Yellow + red card events · 50 measured pairs

Line	Over	Under
0.5	96.2%	3.8%
1.5	92.3%	7.7%
2.5	80.8%	19.2%
3.5	65.4%	34.6%
4.5	42.3%	57.7%
5.5	19.2%	80.8%
6.5	15.4%	84.6%

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

No valid scored meetings are available in this bounded stored window.

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and away All matches

Cesena at homeDDLDDD

Vicenza awayLWWLDL

Sun, 20 Sept@ Verona1–2C 5–3 · Y 2–4
Sun, 6 Sept@ Virtus Entella2–2C 4–4 · Y 2–3
Sat, 29 Aug@ Avellino0–3C 7–2 · Y 3–4
Fri, 6 May@ Alessandria1–0C 3–4 · Y 3–4
Mon, 25 Apr@ Como2–0C 10–4 · Y 3–0
Sun, 10 Apr@ Benevento0–1C 2–8 · Y 5–2

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and away Overall

Cesena at home, Vicenza away

83%
Both teams scored
League 61%
3 + 3 matches
100%
Over 0.5 goals
League 95%
3 + 3 matches
100%
Over 1.5 goals
League 75%
3 + 3 matches
67%
Over 2.5 goals
League 53%
3 + 3 matches
33%
Over 3.5 goals
League 26%
3 + 3 matches
0%
Over 4.5 goals
League 12%
3 + 3 matches
3.0
Avg total goals
League 2.63
3 + 3 matches
83%
1st half over 0.5
League 61%
3 + 3 matches
33%
1st half over 1.5
League 23%
3 + 3 matches
10.0
Corners per match
League 9.78
3 + 3 matches
67%
Corners over 8.5
League 58%
3 + 3 matches
33%
Corners over 9.5
League 44%
3 + 3 matches
33%
Corners over 10.5
League 34%
3 + 3 matches
4.8
Cards per match
League 4.20
3 + 3 matches
83%
Cards over 3.5
League 66%
3 + 3 matches
83%
Cards over 4.5
League 42%
3 + 3 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and away Overall

Cesena at home, Vicenza away

Cesena (home)		Vicenza (away)
10	Position	17
DDD	Last 5, oldest to newest	LDL
3	Played	3
1.00	Points per match	0.33
0%	Win %	0%
1.33	Scored / match	1.00
1.33	Conceded / match	2.33
2.67	Avg total goals	3.33
100%	Both scored	67%
0%	Clean sheets	0%
0%	Failed to score	33%
1.39	xG for	1.18
1.02	xG against	1.11

Half by half

CesenaVicenza

0.671st half scored / match0.33
0.331st half conceded / match1.00
0.672nd half scored / match0.67
1.002nd half conceded / match1.33
67%Leading at half-time0%
100%1st half over 0.567%
0%1st half over 1.567%
100%2nd half over 0.5100%
33%2nd half over 1.567%
33%Scored in both halves33%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Cesena at home, Vicenza away, this season.

Goals

CesenaVicenza

1.33Scored / match1.00
1.33Conceded / match2.33
2.67Match total / match3.33
100%Scored 1+67%
33%Scored 2+33%
100%Conceded 1+100%
33%Conceded 2+100%
100%Match over 1.5100%
33%Match over 2.5100%
33%Match over 3.533%

Shots and xG

CesenaVicenza

11.67Shots for13.00
16.00Shots against13.33
3.33On target for3.33
6.33On target against6.33
11%Shot conversion8%
1.39xG for1.18
1.02xG against1.11

Corners

CesenaVicenza

5.00Corners for5.33
6.67Corners against3.00
11.67Match total8.33
100%Over 7.5100%
100%Over 8.533%
67%Over 9.50%
67%Over 10.50%
67%Over 11.50%

Cards

CesenaVicenza

2.67Cards for2.33
1.00Cards against3.67
3.67Match total6.00
67%Over 2.5100%
67%Over 3.5100%
67%Over 4.5100%
0%Over 5.567%
12.67Fouls committed14.67

The table, 2026-27

#	Club	P	GD	Pts
8	Benevento	6	3	10
9	Verona	5	3	7
10	Cesena	6	-1	7
11	Padova	5	-1	7
12	Arezzo	6	-7	7
15	Juve Stabia	6	-3	6
16	Empoli	6	-4	6
17	Vicenza	6	-6	5
18	Sampdoria	6	-7	4
19	Catanzaro	5	-4	3

Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for Serie B matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.