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Chester v Macclesfield, National League North, Sat, 21 Nov 2026: statistics and head to head

2026-27, Round 17. Sat, 21 Nov 2026

ChesterHome
vKick-off 15:00 UTC
MacclesfieldAway
DLLWWLeague form, oldest to newestLDDWW

Restored from the 11 October backup. Current updates are not connected.

Stored context before this match

Before this match, Chester have 6 scored home results and Macclesfield 5 scored away results stored in 2026-27. Statistical pre-kickoff PPG: Chester at home: 2.00 points per match (6 measured matches); Macclesfield away: 1.60 points per match (5 measured matches). Observed points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before official adjustments. Chester scored 1.33 per home match (6 measured matches); Macclesfield scored 1.00 away (5). The competition's pooled scoring average was 1.39 per club appearance across 266 measured appearances. Both sides scored in 4 of 11 pooled club appearances (36.4%). A shared fixture counts once for each club's record. Earlier stored meetings: 2. Chester: 0 wins; Macclesfield: 2 wins; draws: 0.

Only scored source results before the recorded kickoff enter this statistical brief; same-day records with unknown kickoff order are excluded.

A plain reading of the stored figures. No verified written preview is current for this match.

There will be no minute-by-minute timeline here: goal times, cards and substitutions are not stored in our records.

Prototype model, not yet validatedFrom 133 league matches, 2026-27

How the numbers lean

An estimate from this season's league scoring only. A historical reconstruction is available; there is no record of these estimates published before kickoff. Scoring probabilities use the same normalised zero-to-seven goal grid.

Expected goals, Chester
0.88
Expected goals, Macclesfield
0.75
Most likely score
0-0 (20%)
Three or more goals
23%
Both clubs score
31%
Chester score at least once
59%
Macclesfield score at least once
53%
Season sample
11 and 11 matches

Play it a thousand times

Each run draws a score from the two expected-goals figures. It shows how widely one estimate can land, and adds nothing the model does not already assume.

Chester win–
Draw–
Macclesfield win–

Nothing has run yet.

Chance of each score from zero to seven goals per club, normalised within this grid. Rows are Chester goals, columns are Macclesfield goals. The outlined cell is the most likely.
01234567
020%15%6%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
117%13%5%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
28%6%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
32%2%1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
4under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
5under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
6under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%
7under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%under 1%

Method. Independent Poisson. Each club's goals scored and conceded per match this season are set against the league average, then scaled by the league's home average (1.63 goals) and away average (1.14 goals).

Sample. Chester 11 matches, Macclesfield 11, the league 133, all 2026-27, read before kick-off. One unusual result moves a small sample a long way.

Left out. Line-ups, injuries, rest days, shot quality and earlier seasons. The historical reconstruction is separate from a record published before kickoff. How the model works.

Goal, corner and card probabilities

Snapshot cutoff 2026-10-18T11:08:20.574Z · 7 full days old. Based on this league’s season results. Both clubs share this league-wide baseline.

Version preceding-paired-rate-beta11-1. Each probability is (preceding over-count + 1) / (measured pairs + 2). At least 40 complete match records are required. Filters include fixtures with measured values.

Full-time goals · 133 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
1.575.6%24.4%
2.554.8%45.2%
3.525.9%74.1%
4.516.3%83.7%

First-half goals · 133 measured pairs

LineOverUnder
0.570.4%29.6%
1.532.6%67.4%
2.512.6%87.4%
3.53.7%96.3%

Corners · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Yellow + red card events · Unavailable: fewer than 40 complete records

Cards count stored yellow plus red events, not booking points. Half-time figures use measured half-time scores. This baseline uses recorded league results. Historical testing and coverage limits are documented in the methodology.

Head to head

Meetings before this match. Same-day meetings qualify only when both recorded kickoff times establish an earlier start.

2 valid scored meetings from a bounded window of up to 10 stored meetings, any competition. Too few to read much into. Clean sheets count each named club separately; a 0–0 gives both clubs a clean sheet.

0
Chester wins
0
Draws
2
Macclesfield wins
Goals / meeting
1.50
3 goals in 2 meetings · small sample
Both scored
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 1.5
50%
1 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 2.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Over 3.5
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Chester clean sheets
0%
0 of 2 meetings · small sample
Macclesfield clean sheets
100%
2 of 2 meetings · small sample
Corners / meeting
–
0 with corner data · small sample
Cards / meeting
0.50
2 with card data · small sample
  1. Macclesfield v ChesterMon, 2 Apr 2018 · National League 2017-181–0HT 0–0
  2. Chester v MacclesfieldMon, 28 Aug 2017 · National League 2017-180–2HT 0–1

Latest stored form

These are the clubs’ latest stored results across competitions, independent of this fixture’s date.

Home and awayAll matches
Chester at homeWWLLWW
Macclesfield awayDWLDWD

Any competition, newest first. The form chips read oldest to newest. C = corners, Y = cards (for and against).

Stored season rate grid

Arithmetic averages of both clubs' stored whole-season rates, with each source sample shown. These aggregates can include results after this fixture.

Home and awayOverall
Chester at home, Macclesfield away
  • 38%
    Both teams scored
    League 58%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 90%
    Over 0.5 goals
    League 97%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 47%
    Over 1.5 goals
    League 76%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 28%
    Over 2.5 goals
    League 55%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 8%
    Over 3.5 goals
    League 26%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 8%
    Over 4.5 goals
    League 16%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 1.8
    Avg total goals
    League 2.77
    6 + 5 matches
  • 45%
    1st half over 0.5
    League 71%
    6 + 5 matches
  • 8%
    1st half over 1.5
    League 32%
    6 + 5 matches

Stored season context, 2026-27

Season figures include all stored results in this competition-season. Ratings use the latest stored calculation; these sections can include information after this fixture.

Season comparison, 2026-27

Home and awayOverall
Chester at home, Macclesfield away
Chester (home)Macclesfield (away)
4Position1
WLLWWLast 5, oldest to newestWDWLD
6Played5
2.00Points per match1.60
67%Win %40%
1.33Scored / match1.00
0.50Conceded / match0.80
1.83Avg total goals1.80
17%Both scored60%
50%Clean sheets40%
33%Failed to score20%
–xG for–
–xG against–

Half by half

ChesterMacclesfield
  • 0.501st half scored / match0.20
  • 0.171st half conceded / match0.20
  • 0.832nd half scored / match0.80
  • 0.332nd half conceded / match0.60
  • 33%Leading at half-time20%
  • 50%1st half over 0.540%
  • 17%1st half over 1.50%
  • 67%2nd half over 0.580%
  • 17%2nd half over 1.540%
  • 17%Scored in both halves0%

Goals, shots, corners and cards

Chester at home, Macclesfield away, this season.

Goals

ChesterMacclesfield
  • 1.33Scored / match1.00
  • 0.50Conceded / match0.80
  • 1.83Match total / match1.80
  • 67%Scored 1+80%
  • 33%Scored 2+20%
  • 50%Conceded 1+60%
  • 0%Conceded 2+20%
  • 33%Match over 1.560%
  • 17%Match over 2.540%
  • 17%Match over 3.50%

Shots and xG

No shot figures stored for these clubs this season.

Corners

No corner figures stored for these clubs this season.

Cards

No card figures stored for these clubs this season.

The table, 2026-27

#ClubPGDPts
1Macclesfield11824
2Hereford FC111623
3Oxford City111423
4Chester11520
5South Shields12020
6King’s Lynn11619
Full table →

Where to watch

We do not store television or streaming listings for National League North matches, so no broadcaster is named here. Your local listings or the competition organiser will have the rights in your country.

Broadcasters by countryOur stored rights cover the World Cup 2026 archive only.

Statistics only, never advice. Not affiliated with any league or club.